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BS: U.S. dollar looks extended
 
The U.S. Dollar Index (DX 1), a well known composite of six leading currencies against the dollar, has rallied sharply since early August. The index is now way above its 200 day average, as well as having traded above its upward price channel since early August … both signs of being quite extended to the upside. I look for a notable correction in the dollar over the next two months or so, a trend which may well help Gold and the Gold stocks. I regard the risk/reward in Gold and the Gold stocks as attractive here. A chart of the U.S. Dollar Index back to January 2007 is included.

IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

Analyst Certification
John A. Mendelson certifies that the views expressed in the equity research segment in this research report accurately reflect personal views with respect to the securities, issuers, and other topics described in this report. Further, no part of analyst compensation was, is or will be directly or indirectly related to the specific views expressed in the report.

Stanford Group Company Disclaimer for Research
This document is for informational purposes only. This is not to be construed as an offer of the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any securities or other instruments mentioned herein or to participate in any particular trading strategy in any jurisdiction in which such an offer or solicitation would violate applicable laws or regulations. The information contained herein is based on sources believed to be reliable; however, we do not represent that this information is accurate, current, or complete and it should not be relied upon as such. Opinions, estimates, and projections in this report may represent the individual author's personal opinions, and should not be construed as the opinions or investment strategy of Stanford Group Company ("SGC") or its affiliated companies, shareholders, directors, officers and/or employees. Opinions expressed are current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only, and we do not undertake to advise of changes in these opinions or information.

The products mentioned in this document may not be eligible for sale in some states or countries, nor be suitable for all types of investors; their value and the income they produce may fluctuate and/or be adversely affected by exchange rates, interest rates or other factors. Furthermore, SGC may follow emerging growth companies whose securities typically involve a higher degree of risk and more volatility than the securities of more established companies. This report does not take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs of individual investors. Before acting on any advice or recommendation in this material, the investor should exercise independent judgment as to whether it is suitable to his/her particular circumstances and, if necessary, seek professional advice. Past performance should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future performance, and no representation or warranty, express or implied, is made regarding future performance.

SGC and its affiliated companies, shareholders, officers, directors and/or employees (including persons involved in the preparation or issuance of this material) may, from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell, the securities, or derivatives (including options) thereof, of companies mentioned herein. One or more directors, officers, and/or employees of SGC and its affiliated companies may be a director of the issuer of the securities mentioned in this document. SGC and/or its affiliated companies may have managed or co-managed a public offering of or acted as initial purchaser or placement agent for a private placement of any of the securities of any issuer mentioned in this document within the last three years, or may, from time to time perform investment banking or other services for, or solicit investment banking or other business form any company mentioned in this document.

Additional information relative to securities, other financial products or issuers discussed in this report is available upon request. No part of this material may be reproduced, copied or duplicated in any form or by any means, or redistributed, without SGC's written consent. All rights reserved. Member FINRA/SIPC. © 2008 Stanford Group Company. Any reproduction or distribution of this report without the prior written consent of Stanford Group Company is prohibited.

Specific Disclosures for Publicly Traded Companies Mentioned in these Materials
To obtain a copy of applicable current disclosures for all rated companies discussed in these materials, please contact SGC Compliance at 800-958-0009.


Explanation of Ratings
Buy: Shares expected to increase in price over the coming twelve months.
Hold: Shares expected to be relatively stable in price over the coming twelve months.
Sell: Shares expected to decline in price over the coming twelve months.

Ratings Distribution of Coverage Universe as of September 30, 2008.

Total Universe


Count


Percentage


Investment Banking


Count


Percentage

Buy


113


53.55%


Buy


1


0.88%

Hold


87


41.23%


Hold


0


0%

Sell


11


5.21%


Sell


0


0%
Source