BLBG: South African Rand Strengthens Against Dollar as Stocks Rally
By Garth Theunissen
Oct. 28 (Bloomberg) -- South Africa's rand rose to the highest in a week against the dollar as stocks rallied worldwide, reviving demand for emerging-market assets.
The rand also gained versus the euro as the MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 3.1 percent, after a 19 percent slump in the previous four days, and Standard & Poor's 500 Index futures gained 4.7 percent. South Africa's FTSE/JSE Africa All Share Index, down almost 35 percent this year, added 2.3 percent, its first advance in five days.
``There has been a massive fallout in equity markets but sentiment is starting to improve,'' said Brigid Taylor, a senior currency trader at Rand Merchant Bank in Johannesburg. ``The rand has been badly burnt and is now starting to pull back a bit.''
The rand strengthened as much as 4.9 percent to 11.4487 per dollar, the strongest level since Oct. 21. It traded at 10.7200 by 12:47 p.m. in Johannesburg, from 10.9900 yesterday, when it fell as low as 11.4737. It also climbed versus 14 of the 16 most-actively traded currencies monitored by Bloomberg, appreciating 2.5 percent against the euro to 13.3868.
The rand may ``potentially move to 10.54 today if it sustains the break below 10.80,'' Taylor said. ``The move opens up a lot of potential on the downside,'' she said. It may trade between 10.05 and 10.30 per dollar by the end of the week, Taylor added.
Stocks rebounded across the world on speculation a global sell-off that has wiped about $36 trillion from equity markets this year was overdone.
`Little Momentum'
``The rand has been in free-fall and has reached oversold territory,'' said Michael Keenan, a currency strategist at Standard Bank Group Ltd. in Johannesburg. ``There's very little momentum left behind rand weakness, which makes it very difficult for speculators to keep selling the currency.''
South Africa's currency also gained after gold climbed as much as 3.5 percent and platinum rallied as much as 8.2 percent. Africa's biggest economy produces almost 80 percent of the world's platinum and about 10 percent of its gold.
Government bonds advanced, with the yield on the 13.5 percent security due September 2015 losing 14 basis points to 9.39 percent. The yield on the 13 percent note maturing in August 2010, which is more sensitive to interest-rate expectations, dropped 20 basis points to 10.28 percent. Yields move inversely to bond prices.
``The currency looking a lot better, which is releasing some pent up demand for bonds,'' said Victor Mphaphuli, a portfolio manager who helps oversee about $45 billion at Stanlib Asset Management in Johannesburg. ``If the rand keeps sustains its rebound it improves the inflation outlook.''
South Africa's bond market will ``remain volatile'' in the short-term because of the ``vicious swings in the rand,'' Mphaphuli added. ``It's still too early to say whether we can sustain this rally.''
To contact the reporter on this story: Garth Theunissen in Johannesburg gtheunissen@bloomberg.net