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BLBG: Oil Falls More Than $1 as Global Economic Slowdown Curbs Demand
 
By Mark Shenk

Nov. 14 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil fell more than $1 a barrel, and gasoline tumbled, as the global economic slowdown cut demand in the largest energy-consuming countries.

China Petroleum & Chemical Corp., supplier of more than half the fuel to the Asian nation, is slashing processing rates by 10 percent from July’s record. U.S. retail sales in October dropped the most on record and Europe fell into its first recession in 15 years, reports showed today.

“This is a headline-driven market and that’s giving the sellers plenty of ammunition,” said Peter Beutel, president of energy consultant Cameron Hanover Inc. in New Canaan, Connecticut. “Everyone is looking for recessionary numbers. The retail numbers were even worse than expected.”

Crude oil for December delivery declined $1.20, or 2.1 percent, to settle at $57.04 a barrel at 2:42 p.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Futures touched $54.67 yesterday, the lowest since Jan. 30, 2007. Prices, which have tumbled 61 percent since reaching a record $147.27 on July 11, declined 6.6 percent this week.

Gasoline for December delivery fell 6.33 cents, or 4.9 percent, to $1.2391 a gallon in New York, the lowest settlement price since the contract was introduced in October 2005.

China Petroleum, or Sinopec, will process about 15 million metric tons a month, or 3.65 million barrels a day, starting in November, said three refinery officials, who declined to be named because of internal rules. China is the world’s second-biggest oil-consuming country.

Falling Sales

Retail sales in the U.S. dropped 2.8 percent in October, the fourth consecutive drop and the biggest since records began in 1992, the Commerce Department said today in Washington. Purchases excluding automobiles also posted their worst performance. The U.S. consumes 24 percent of the world’s oil.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries, supplier of 40 percent of the world’s oil, is “very likely” to recommend a production cut at the end of this month, Iran’s OPEC governor, Mohammad Ali Khatibi, told the country’s state-run Mehr news agency. Iran is OPEC’s second-biggest oil producer.

OPEC will hold a meeting on Nov. 29 in Cairo, according to a spokesman at the group’s Vienna headquarters. It will coincide with a gathering of Arab oil ministers scheduled for that day.

‘Significant Lag’

“OPEC may well announce additional production cuts, but there will be a significant lag effect, with any cuts coming well into next year,” said Paul Crovo, a Philadelphia-based oil analyst with PNC Capital Advisors. Compliance from members may not be in line with announced reductions, producing a “muted impact,” he said.

The group decided at a meeting in Vienna last month to lower the production target for 11 of the group’s members by 1.5 million barrels a day, from 28.8 million barrels a day.

Brent crude oil for January settlement fell $2, or 3.6 percent, to settle at $54.24 a barrel on London’s ICE Futures Europe exchange.

Seventeen of 31 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News, or 55 percent, said prices will decline through Nov. 21. Eleven respondents, or 35 percent, said oil will rise and three forecast markets will be little changed.

To contact the reporter on this story: Mark Shenk in New York at mshenk1@bloomberg.net.

Source