RTRS: FOREX-Euro gains, supported by ZEW poll, risk demand
The euro rose on Tuesday, briefly hitting a session high due to a surprisingly big improvement in German economic sentiment, while higher share prices stoked demand for risk, pushing the dollar and the yen lower.
Supporting the euro was a poll by German economic think tank ZEW, whose economic sentiment index rose to 31.1, exceeding forecasts for 20.0 and posting a big improvement from 13.0 in April [ID:nDEG003551]. This suggested that analysts and investors were not as grim about the economy as before.
The single European currency climbed as high as around $1.3655 after the figures, but pulled back shortly after as the same poll showed deteriorating current conditions, a reminder that a sustained economic recovery remains a long way off.
Analysts said the euro's reaction to the mixed report suggested that market participants saw improving sentiment in the euro zone was boosting demand for risk, even as other data show that the economy remains weak.
"The data was mixed and the euro took some comfort from it, but the reaction was quite short-lived," said Phyllis Papadavid, currency strategist at SG in London.
"The market may have gotten ahead of itself in some sense, because the hard data isn't looking great at the moment, although the financial risk environment is looking better and that's what the euro has been is reacting to."
She also warned that market participants were "grasping for green shoots" of recovery in the global economy, and that the euro and other currencies perceived to be high-risk could come under selling pressure if hard economic data does not support this view.
By 1000 GMT, the euro traded at $1.3625, up half a percent from Monday and recovering from around $1.3420 hit on Monday for the first time in more than a week.
A 1.5 percent rise in European shares .FTEU3 helped to keep the euro in demand, as currency traders took rising stock prices as a sign of broadly improving risk appetite.
"Risk demand is improving on the view that the downturn is slowing, although it hasn't reversed," said Antje Praefcke, currency strategist at Commerzbank in Frankfurt.
