BLBG: Gold, Little Changed in Asia, May Advance on Inflation Concern
Gold, little changed in Asia, may gain as investors buy the metal on concern that inflation will pick up as the world recovers from recession.
“Longer-term inflation worries will continue to shape demand for gold,” Andrew Chaveriat, a strategist at BNP Paribas, said in report. The metal could make a “creeping advance” to new records above $1,000 an ounce in the next few months, said Chaveriat, citing chart patterns.
Gold has climbed 4.3 percent this month and is up 15 percent from this year’s low of $802.59 an ounce on Jan. 15. Nine gold exchange-traded funds now hold 52.59 million ounces, or 0.24 million ounces below the record 52.83 million recorded April 15, UBS AG said in a report. Gold holdings in the SPDR Gold Trust, the biggest exchange-traded fund backed by bullion, were unchanged at 1,105.62 metric tons as of May 19, according to figures on the company’s Web site.
Gold prices are moving in a “positive but slowing” way, with a “bullish outlook,” UBS said.
Immediate-delivery gold was little changed at $926.63 an ounce at 10:47 a.m. in Singapore. The spot gold price set a record of $1,032.70 on March 17 last year, Bloomberg data show. Gold for June delivery in New York was unchanged at $926.70 an ounce at the same time.
Possible Rally
“Key support at $880 must hold to preserve the bullish outlook” and spot gold could reach $980 on ounce in three months, Chaveriat of BNP Paribas said, citing technical analysis. “Breaking $967 would favor extending the rally above the $1,006 February high toward the historic $1,032 March ‘08 peak. Exceeding that level would open scope to $1,045-$1,095.”
Looking at other precious metals, he said “the prospects for a large gold advance would be enhanced if spot silver breaks above the strong resistance from its $14.64 February high.”
Silver was little changed at $14.1425 an ounce after surging 3.1 percent yesterday. Platinum for immediate delivery was also little changed at $1,136 an ounce and palladium was at $233.25 an ounce.