BLBG: Copper Drops to Lowest in Three Weeks on Global Economy, Dollar
Copper declined to the lowest in more than three weeks in Asia amid speculation that demand may decline after the dollar gained and the World Bank forecast a deeper global recession this year.
The World Bank said yesterday the global economy will contract 2.9 percent in 2009, more than its March forecast for a 1.7 percent decline. Copper, denominated in dollars, fell 6.1 percent in two days as the Dollar Index, a six-currency gauge of the greenback’s value, gained 0.8 percent.
“Base metals prices declined sharply, with market participants apparently taking a more cautious view of the outlook for metals demand,” David Moore, commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia, said in an e-mail today.
Three-month delivery copper on the London Metal Exchange declined as much as 1.6 percent to $4,685 a metric ton, the lowest since May 28. The contract traded at $4,723 at 11:14 a.m. Singapore time.
“The World Bank has ostensibly poured a big jug of ice- cold water over those looking for a bounce in economic growth globally,” said Tim Schroeders, who helps manage $1 billion at Pengana Capital Ltd. in Melbourne.
Copper for September delivery in New York lost as much as 1 percent to $2.1235 a pound, also the lowest since May 28, and last traded at $2.1380. October-delivery copper on the Shanghai Futures Exchange fell as much as 3.1 percent to 36,900 yuan a ton, the lowest for a most-active contract since May 27.
The global economy may expand 2 percent next year and 3.2 percent in 2011, the World Bank said. In March, the Washington- based lender forecast 2010 growth at 2.3 percent.
Among other LME-traded metals, aluminum gained 1 percent to $1,589.50 a ton, zinc rose 1.1 percent to $1,519 a ton and lead added 1.5 percent to $1,626 a ton. Nickel was unchanged at $14,500 a ton, and tin hadn’t traded as of 10:52 a.m. in Singapore.