COM: Base metals plummet on dollar gains, equities
The base metal complex trade sluggish during the day while plummeted in the evening session on account of a host of off-putting news floating in the market. The strengthening of dollar index while free fall in the equity markets supplemented the bearish trend. Moreover, the on-going Euro crisis and Chinese property curbs have dragged MSCI World Index down by 16% from its high this year on April 15
The Dollar Index, a six-currency gauge of the greenback’s strength, gained for the third straight day due to majors tumbling against it. It rose to 87.452 intraday high after lowering to 86.329, while settled at 86.348, up by 0.16%
European stocks tumbled to 8-month low on account of increasing agitating in the Korean peninsular region and the weakness in the Spanish banking system aggravating concerns that the Euro-zone debt crisis is having a contagion impact
Coming on to the US data releases, the Richmond Fed index for May month came at per the expectations of 26, while the consumer confidence declared at 63 in May , surpassed the expectations of 58.5 levels and prior of 57.5. However the improving data releases had subdued impact on the market with other bigger news to follow
OUTLOOK
Rio Tinto, the world’s third-biggest mining company, expects commodity demand in China, the soul of the global recovery, to increase in the next 15 years. These statements helped to stabilize the disconcerting investors sentiments
Day ahead, the market does not expect any significant data releases from the Germany and Euro-zone. The US is due to release durables goods order for April month—improving to 1.50% from prior month’s negative growth of 1.30%. Moreover, the new home sales suggests 14,000 new homes added for April month, however the growth pace is decelerating to 3.40% from previous month’s substantial rise of 26.90%
The dollar index opened at 86.562, while touched an intraday high 86.921 as of now, wading up by 0.51%. The mixed impact in the majors as Euro depreciates while Yen and Pound gains v/s the greenback is instilling gains in dollar index. Day ahead, dollar could strengthen further due to improving data releases
The modest fall in Wall Street the earlier day is discounted by the Asians in the early opening hours—now trying to recoup after yesterdays heavy fall. Any gains during the day would help recovery in the commodities markets as well
Consolidating the view we suggest MCX base metals open on a flat customary note -- taking cues from pull back in the electronic session at LME. However, rupee appreciation on Indian front would disturb parity vis-à-vis the international counterparts. The evening data releases would also support the gains in the markets. Overall we expect market to take slight recovery after the big fall in prior day’s session. However intermittent ups and downs during the day couldn’t be ignored