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RTRS: METALS-Copper rises with euro after German GDP data
 
* Copper bounces off 2-week lows, Shanghai zinc up 2.7 pct
* Euro jumps after German GDP data beats forecasts
* LME tin in backwardation, first time since Nov
* Coming Up: U.S. CPI, retail sales; 1230 GMT
(Recasts, adds comment, updates prices)
By Manolo Serapio Jr.
SINGAPORE, Aug 13 (Reuters) - Copper rose on Friday after
the U.S. dollar slipped against the euro on stronger than
expected German economic growth numbers, although worries about
the rest of the global economy kept gains in check.
The euro EUR= climbed 0.5 percent against the dollar
after data showed the German economy grew at its quickest pace
in 23 years in the second quarter, boding well for a first
estimate of euro zone GDP numbers due later on Friday.
[ID:nLDE67C0AI]
"The weak dollar is the main reason prices are up, thanks
to the German data," said a metals trader in Shanghai.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange CMCU3
rose $40 to $7,300 a tonne at 0702 GMT, adding to a $69 gain in
the previous session.
The metal is still down nearly 1 percent for the week,
after three consecutive weeks of rises. It slid to two-week
lows on Thursday as doubts grew over the global recovery, fed
by a spate of recent poor data from the United States and
China.
"There's ongoing uncertainty and weakness for the time
being and that's being reflected in the price of metals at the
moment. We're not out of the doldrums yet," said James Wilson,
a resources analyst at DJ Carmichael in Perth.
There was more bad economic news overnight, with the number
of U.S. workers filing new claims for jobless benefits rising
unexpectedly last week to the highest in nearly six months, the
latest evidence of a faltering recovery. [ID:nN1274714]
That followed the Federal Reserve's downgrade of its
assessment of the U.S. economy, as well as China data earlier
this week showing investment and factory output growth
moderating along with imports. [ID:nN09275781] [ID:nTOE67A01A]
Shanghai benchmark third-month copper SCFc3 rallied 1,000
yuan to close at 57,400 yuan a tonne. Despite the gain,
Shanghai copper is down 0.7 percent this week.
CLOSER ALIGNMENT
Declining production could aid prices, with global output
down sharply in the first half of 2010, signaling a tighter
supply/demand balance in the months ahead. [ID:nN12119254]
In terms of technicals, LME copper may consolidate between
$7,150 and $7,294 before either resuming the bear trend or
climbing towards $7,527, a three-month top hit last week, said
Reuters market analyst Wang Tao. [TECH/C-MET]
For a graphic of the 24-hour copper technical outlook:
here
Elsewhere in the complex, LME cash tin MSN0 moved to a
premium over the three-month price MSNO-3, going into
backwardation for the first time in more than eight months.
[ID:nSGE67C01A]
The backwardation suggests looming tightness in supply,
although tin is a relatively illiquid market and is the
smallest on the LME.
Indonesia, the world's largest exporter of the metal, said
on Thursday its refined tin output for 2010 may fall 20 percent
from a government target of 105,000 tonnes as unseasonally long
rains hamper mining. [ID:nJAK407383]
Three-month LME tin CMSN3 rose 0.9 percent to $20,690 a
tonne, extending a more than 3 percent jump on Thursday.
Shanghai zinc SZNc3 climbed 2.7 percent to end at 16,985
yuan a tonne.
Base metals prices at 0702 GMT
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2009 YTD pct
chg
LME Cu 7300.00 40.00 +0.55 7375.00
-1.02
SHFE Cu* 57400.00 1000.00 +1.77 59900.00
-4.17
LME Alum 2169.00 5.50 +0.25 2230.00
-2.74
SHFE Alum* 15415.00 175.00 +1.15 17160.00
-10.17
COMEX Cu** 330.05 1.80 +0.55 332.75
-0.81
LME Zinc 2077.25 21.25 +1.03 2560.00
-18.86
SHFE Zinc 16985.00 450.00 +2.72 21195.00
-19.86
LME Nickel 21847.00 347.00 +1.61 18525.00
17.93
LME Lead 2127.00 27.00 +1.29 2432.00
-12.54
LME Tin 20690.00 190.00 +0.93 16950.00
22.06
LME/Shanghai arb^ 595
Dollar/yuan 6.7902 \ 6.7911
** 1st contract month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contact month for SHFE aluminium, copper and zinc
^ LME 3-m copper in yuan, including 17 pct VAT, minus SHFE
third month
Source