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BLBG: Europe Commodity Day Ahead: China 2010 Copper Consumption to Beat Forecast
 
The following are the top stories on metals, agriculture and shipping.

ECONOMIC EVENTS, AGRICULTURE EVENTS:

Forecast Prior Time
(N.Y.)
MBA Mortgage Applications OCT 29 3.2% 7:00
Challenger Job Cuts YOY OCT -44.1% 7:30
ADP Employment Change OCT 20K -39K 8:15
ISM Non-Manf. Composite OCT 53.5 53.2 10:00
Factory Orders SEPT 1.6% -0.5% 10:00
FOMC Rate Decision NOV 3 0.25% 0.25% 14:15
Domestic Vehicle Sales OCT 8.9M 8.82M 17:00
Total Vehicle Sales OCT 11.8M 11.73M 17:00
USDA Broiler Eggs Set OCT 29 199012 15:00
Metal Prices: ($/ton)

Last %Chg Aluminum 2,335 +0.2 Copper 8,430 -0.1 Lead 2,500 +0.4 Zinc 2,470 +0.7 Nickel 23,599 +0.5 Tin 25,899 +0.4

Other Markets:

Last %Chg %YTD U.S. Dollar Index 776.78 +0.1 -1.4 Crude Oil $84.20 +0.4 +6.1 Gold $1,355.35 -0.2 +24 MSCI World Index 1,234.69 +0.1 +5.7


EXCLUSIVE:
China Can Use More Copper Than World Has Now With Yang’s Stove
China’s worldwide search for copper begins in the gnarled
hands of 76-year-old Yang Caiguan, who is fiddling with the
cables of his digital television tuner.

China’s Drive for Rural Growth Fuels Hunger for Copper: Video
Chinese businessmen and citizens in Dao County, Hunan
Province, China talk about the government’s drive to emulate
coastal growth in rural areas, and the resulting demand for
copper.

INDUSTRIAL METALS:
Copper May Increase on Expectation Fed Measures May Buoy Demand
Copper, little changed, may advance for a third consecutive
day in London on expectations the Federal Reserve is preparing
further stimulus for the U.S. economy that may weaken the dollar
and buoy commodities demand.

China 2010 Copper Use to Beat Forecast, Antaike Says
Copper consumption in China, the largest user, will be
higher than expected this year because of strong demand from
makers of autos, air-conditioners and electronics, Beijing
Antaike Information Development Co. said.

China Unlikely to Sell Copper From Reserves Now, Nanhua Says
China isn’t likely to sell copper from state reserves under
current circumstances, an analyst said today. “The State
Reserve Bureau is more likely to sell when the local cash
premium is as high as 1,000-2,000 yuan a ton,” said Zhu Bin,
president of Nanhua Futures Co.’s research department, at a
conference today.

Canada Blocks Taseko’s Prosperity Mine on Environment
Canada said it won’t allow Taseko Mines Ltd. to proceed
with its Prosperity gold and copper project in British Columbia
project under its current plan because it would cause too much
damage to the environment.

MINING:
Chinalco Seeks to Take Part in Oyu Tolgoi, Zhao Says
Aluminum Corp. of China, the nation’s biggest producer of
the metal, is seeking to participate in the Oyu Tolgoi copper
and gold project in Mongolia that’s being developed by Ivanhoe
Mines Ltd. and Rio Tinto Group.

China to Sell 50,000 Tons of Zinc From State Reserves
China, the world’s largest zinc producer, will sell 50,000
metric tons of the metal from state stockpiles, boosting
domestic supplies as an energy-saving drive curbs output and
boosts prices.

Metal Producers Rise in Shanghai, Shenzhen on Reserves Report
China’s minor metal producers rose in Shanghai and Shenzhen
trading after a report saying that China is studying the start
of strategic reserves for 10 metals.

Xstrata Raises Bid for Sphere by 20% to A$514 Million
Xstrata Plc, the biggest exporter of coal used in power
plants, raised its cash offer for Sphere Minerals Ltd. 20
percent to A$514 million ($513 million) after the iron ore
company’s holders failed to support the agreed deal.

PRECIOUS METALS:
Gold Drops Amid Speculation Fed’s Easing May Miss Expectations
Gold declined amid speculation that a second round of so-
called quantitative easing from the Federal Reserve may miss
investors’ expectations, boosting the U.S. currency and hurting
demand for the precious metal.

China Gold Plans HK$1.95 Billion Hong Kong IPO, Sing Tao Reports
China Gold International Resources Corp. plans to raise
HK$1.95 billion in an initial public offering in Hong Kong, Sing
Tao Daily News said, citing people it didn’t identify. The
shares are scheduled to start trading on Nov. 26, the newspaper
said. China Gold is also listed in Canada.


AGRICULTURE:
Australia Wheat Output Forecast at 23.19 Million Tons, FAS Says
Wheat production in Australia is forecast at 23.19 million
metric tons this season, unchanged from a July estimate, the U.S.
Foreign Agricultural Service said in a report.

Wall Says Province to Sue Canada If BHP Bid Approved
Saskatchewan is poised to sue the federal government if
Canada approves BHP Billiton Ltd.’s $40 billion hostile takeover
offer for Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan Inc., Premier Brad Wall
said.

Wheat Advances as Dry Weather Threatens U.S. Crop Development
Wheat futures advanced as dry weather in the growing
regions of the U.S. threatened crop development in the world’s
largest exporter.

Corn Premiums Steady as U.S. Farmers Curb Sales; Soy Bids Drop
Cash premiums for corn shipped to export terminals near New
Orleans this month were unchanged after futures touched a two-
year high yesterday, encouraging farmers to hold supply. Soybean
premiums fell for a second day.

Vietnam Plans Warehouses to Stockpile Rice, Nong Nghiep Reports
Vietnam’s government wants more warehouses for rice
stockpiling, Nong Nghiep newspaper reported, citing Ho Xuan Hung,
deputy minister of agricultural and rural development.

Fonterra Says Milk Powder Prices Gain on China Demand
Whole milk powder auction prices rose for the first time in
six weeks as strong demand in China and emerging economies
outpaced an increase in supply.

Sinograin Halts Grain Trade to Stabilize Prices, CBN Says
China Grain Reserves Corp., also known as Sinograin, has
temporarily halted grain trading operations with the aim of
stabilizing prices, China Business News reported today, citing
an unidentified person. Sinograin stopped grain purchases when
market prices are higher than the minimum purchasing price, the
report said, citing the company.

Palm Oil Supported by Stronger Crude Oil, Weak Dollar: Glenealy
Palm oil prices will be supported by stronger crude oil and
a weaker dollar, Glenealy Plantations (Malaya) Bhd. Managing
Director Yaw Chee Ming said in a statement in Kuala Lumpur today.

Palm Oil Futures Climb as Much as 0.5% to 3,106 Ringgit a Ton
Palm oil futures in Malaysia climbed as much as 0.5 percent
to 3,106 ringgit a metric ton. January-delivery futures traded
at 3,104 ringgit a ton on the Malaysia Derivatives Exchange at
10:34 a.m in Kuala Lumpur.

SOFT COMMODITIES:
Cotton Jumps to Records in New York, Zhengzhou on China Supply
Cotton futures in New York and Zhengzhou advanced to
records on lingering concerns that a production deficit in China,
the world’s biggest buyer, may be wider than estimated, boosting
the nation’s import needs.

Record Cotton Prices ‘Endanger’ China Textile Makers, CFLP Says
Textile makers in China, which uses more than 40 percent of
the world’s cotton, face a supply shortage that has sent prices
to a record and is “endangering” their survival, an industry
group said.

India May Resume Sugar Exports Next Month, Economic Times Says
India may resume sugar exports next month and the
government is likely to expedite applications from mills for
shipment of about 500,000 metric tons, the Economic Times
reported, citing an official it didn’t identify.

Indonesia’s Sulawesi Oct. Cocoa Bean Exports Jump 80% on Month
Cocoa bean exports from Sulawesi, Indonesia’s main growing
region, rose 80 percent from a month earlier to 33,898 tons in
October, the nation’s cocoa association said in a faxed
statement in Jakarta today.

Bahia Cocoa Arrivals in Brazil Climb 39%, Analyst Hartmann Says
Cocoa arrivals from Bahia, Brazil’s biggest growing region,
advanced 39 percent in the latest week, according to analyst
Thomas Hartmann.

ECONOMIES:
World Bank Says China Needs to Raise Interest Rates Further
The World Bank said China should raise interest rates and
allow a stronger yuan to damp inflation, along with guarding
against a surfeit of capital inflows.

Subbarao Says India May Not Raise Rates Until 2011
India’s central bank said it probably won’t raise interest
rates in the next three months after tightening monetary policy
the most in Asia this year.

Bernanke Bond Buying May Risk Rise in Prices Similar to 2004
The Federal Reserve may be underestimating the inflation
outlook for the second time in less than a decade as it prepares
to pump more money into the U.S. economy.

Goldman Sachs Says Hong Kong to Benefit Most From QE2
Goldman Sachs Group Inc. raised its 12-month target for
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index to 29,000, saying the city has the
most to gain from extra liquidity released by quantitative
easing programs and China’s growth.

OTHER MARKETS:
Oil Trades at a Six-Month High on Inventory Drop, Fed Stimulus
Oil rose to a six-month high after an industry report
showed U.S. crude inventories declined and on expectations the
dollar will drop following Federal Reserve economic stimulus
measures.

China’s Record Oil Surplus Points to Stockpiling: Chart of Day
China’s surplus crude oil reached a record in September
stoking speculation that the world’s biggest energy user may be
stockpiling commercial or strategic reserves.

Yen Retreats From Near 15-Year High on Global Recovery Signs
The yen retreated from near a 15-year high against the
dollar as signs the worldwide economic recovery is gathering
momentum boosted regional shares, sapping demand for the
Japanese currency as a refuge.

Aussie Dollar Near Parity on Outlook for Federal Reserve Easing
The Australian dollar traded just short of parity with the
U.S. currency, near its highest since exchange controls ended in
1983, on prospects further monetary easing by the Federal
Reserve will debase the greenback.
Source