RTRS: COMMODITIES-Oil falls, gold and gas up after Japan quake
* Japan quake saps near-term oil outlook
* Nuclear reactor emergencies to lift LNG demand, aid gas
* Gold profits from safe-haven flows
(Updates throughout with comment; refreshes prices; changes
byline and dateline, previous SINGAPORE)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, March 14 (Reuters) - Brent crude oil was set for its
biggest three-day slide in four months on Monday, while gold
rose as Japan battled to avert a nuclear disaster after Friday's
earthquake prompted a sell-off across most commodities.
U.S. natural gas futures rose to two-week highs on
expectations Japan will have to resort to alternatives to
nuclear power after the country's biggest recorded earthquake
and ensuing tsunami, which is feared to have killed thousands of
people, crippled an atomic power plant north of Tokyo.
The price of copper, the backbone of the electrical and
electronics industries, and platinum, used in catalytic
converters for diesel-powered vehicles, held near two-month lows
as major Japanese manufacturers such as Toyota and Sony
suspended production.
Japan's worst disaster since World War Two eclipsed the
violence in Libya, which has helped pushed gold to record highs
this month and crude oil to 2-1/2 year peaks, as rebels battled
troops loyal to Muammar Gaddafi for key oil ports.
"Japan is another risk element in a plethora of events which
have been important in the minds of investors in the past
quarter," said Deutsche Bank analyst Daniel Brebner.
"You have the Middle East/North Africa situation, the
peripheral euro zone debt issues which seem to be re-emerging,
there are questions with respect to China raising interest rates
near term, and there are municipal issues in the United States,
particularly on debt."
Even though Libya's civil war was choking its oil exports,
April Brent crude futures fell as much as 2.4 percent to
$111.16, the lowest price since Feb. 25. It was trading down 1.2
percent at $112.49 a barrel by 1200 GMT, as the market expected
demand from Japan, the world's third biggest energy consumer, to
suffer.
MIDDLE EAST TURMOIL
France stepped up efforts on Monday to persuade world powers
to impose a no-fly zone over Libya, formerly Africa's third
largest oil producer, as Gaddafi's troops battled rebel fighters
for control of the strategic oil town of Brega.
The price of U.S. natural gas rose 1.6 percent on
expectations that Japan will need to buy significant amounts of
fuel to compensate for the loss of an estimated 9,700 megawatts
(MW) of nuclear power generating capacity after the
8.9-magnitude quake on Friday.
"This new crisis adds to the geopolitical/oil crisis already
in the background of global markets. This should contribute to
global risk aversion in the near future," said Societe Generale
in a research note.
A second blast on Monday rocked the nuclear plant in
Fukushima, where authorities have been working desperately to
avert a meltdown.
Roads and rail, power and ports have been crippled across
much of the northeast of Japan -- the world's largest buyer of
corn -- and estimates of the cost of the disasters have leapt to
as much as $170 billion, triggering a warning from analysts that
the country's fragile economy could return to recession.
The central bank pumped emergency cash into the financial
system, while Japanese stocks staged a 6-percent fall, their
steepest since the height of the global financial crisis in
2008.
A surge in the yen, possibly from Japanese firms
repatriating funds to cover the cost of damage to plants and
factories, sent the nation's currency to its highest since
mid-November earlier in the day, driving the dollar down and
gold up for a second day.
Spot gold, which has risen by 1 percent this month, was last
up 0.6 percent at $1,425.70 an ounce, just 1.7 percent off last
week's record high of $1,444.40, while the premium for bullion
bars in Tokyo touched one-month highs.
"Some investors expect some of the Japanese insurance
companies to start selling their dollar assets to raise money.
Perhaps gold could be boosted as an alternative currency
itself," said Ong Yi Ling, investment analyst at Phillip Futures
in Singapore.
The price of platinum fell by more than 1 percent to hit its
lowest since mid-January, below $1,740 an ounce, under pressure
from prospects of lower demand from the car industry., In
base metals, three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange
reversed early losses of about 1 percent to trade at $9,210 a
tonne, up 0.2 percent.
"(Copper is) taking direction very much from events in the
Middle East, the oil price and also what has been happening in
Japan," said Gayle Berry, analyst at Barclays Capital.
In agricultural commodities, U.S. corn and soy futures fell
after the disaster in Japan exacerbated the bearish mood in
grain markets. CBOT corn futures fell 0.1 percent to $6.63-1/2 a
bushel, while soy futures fell 1 percent to $13.22-1/4 a bushel.
Tokyo and all ports south of Japan's capital were operating
normally, while the rest were being assessed for damage,
industry sources said Monday.
But at least six Japanese seaports handling international
trade sustained major damage, including Hachinohe, Sendai,
Ishinomaki and Onahama, and will be out of action for some time.
(Additional reporting by Jan Harvey and Pratima Desai in London
and Nick Trevethan, Rujun Shen and Lewa Pardomuan in Singapore;
Editing by Anthony Barker)