RTRS: METALS-Copper steady as sentiment improves, dlr weighs
(updates with official prices, add comments, details)
* Copper demand expected to pick up in second half of 2011
* Copper stocks fall to lowest in more than 2 months
* Aluminium inventories fall to lowest in more than 5 months
By Silvia Antonioli
London July 4 (Reuters) - Copper steadied on Monday as a stronger dollar
counterbalanced an improvement in market sentiment after data last week showed
U.S. manufacturing had grown at a surprisingly strong pace in June, easing
concerns over an economic slowdown.
Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange traded at $9,435 per
tonne in rings, the same level seen at the close on Friday.
Earlier, the metal used in power and construction hit a session high of
$9,520.25 a tonne, its highest since April 28.
"I think the market digested what happened on Friday and some fears have
eased a bit," said Credit Suisse analyst Stefan Graber.
"Over the past few weeks the market has been focusing on global growth
concerns and worries over Greece. With these concerns easing, the focus is
shifting back to fundamentals, and the copper market still shows some tight
conditions."
The pace of growth in U.S. manufacturing picked up for the first time in
four months in June, surprising investors and fueling optimism that the recent
economic slowdown would be temporary.
China's PMI data, however, dipped further in June, pointing to a contraction
in factory output for the first time in 11 months.
The Chinese data was not completely unexpected, according to Graber.
"It shows that tightening measures are working in preventing the economy
from overheating. Now the market expects that China will not take many more
measures and this should allow (metals)demand to pick up" Graber said.
A slightly stronger dollar against a basket of currencies though was
weighing on metals prices.
The euro eased from one-month highs against the dollar after Standard &
Poor's said a debt rollover plan being considered for Greece may put the country
into selective default.
A stronger U.S. currency makes dollar-priced commodities costlier for
holders of other currencies.
TIGHT SUPPLY
As investor focus switches from economics to fundamentals, supply tightness
and expectations of growing demand lend support to copper prices, analysts said.
"An underlying improvement in demand for aluminium and copper in China and
Japan is providing support," Standard Chartered said in a note. "Physical
premiums have also risen for copper, and both aluminium and copper exchange
inventories have fallen."
Inventories of copper on the LME MCU-STOCKS fell 725 tonnes to 462,725
tonnes, their lowest in more than two months. Stocks of copper on the Shanghai
Futures Exchange SCF-TOTAL-W have also fallen in the past few months to close
to 20,000 tonnes from more than 80,000 tonnes in mid-February.
Stocks of aluminium on the LME MAL-STOCKS also fell, to 4.48 million
tonnes, their lowest in more than five months.
Aluminium , used in transport and packaging, untraded in rings, was
bid at $2,489 a tonne from $2,503.
"People think this is the right value for aluminium, and there is not much
funds buying," an LME ring trader said, adding that as in the physical market
things were also unchanged he did not expect any price pick-up in the next few
weeks.
Zinc , used in galvanizing steel traded at $2,374 from $2,360
Friday's close. Battery material lead changed hands at $2,668 from
$2,674 and tin was at $25,605 from $26,050. Nickel was at
$23,100 from $23,000.
Metal Prices at 1227 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2010 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 430.90 1.25 +0.29 444.70 -3.10
LME Alum 2489.00 -14.00 -0.56 2470.00 0.77
LME Cu 9434.50 -0.50 -0.01 9600.00 -1.72
LME Lead 2667.00 -7.00 -0.26 2550.00 4.59
LME Nickel 23095.00 95.00 +0.41 24750.00 -6.69
LME Tin 25605.00 -445.00 -1.71 26900.00 -4.81
LME Zinc 2374.00 14.00 +0.59 2454.00 -3.26
SHFE Alu 17375.00 110.00 +0.64 16840.00 3.18
SHFE Cu* 70770.00 890.00 +1.27 71850.00 -1.50
SHFE Zin 18100.00 290.00 +1.63 19475.00 -7.06
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07