RTRS:UK gas bounces on tight LNG outlook, firm oil
* Goldman says LNG market to tighten
* Brent crude rises above $114 per barrel
July 7 (Reuters) - British wholesale gas prices rose on
Thursday morning after U.S. bank Goldman Sachs forecast a
tighter liquefied natural gas (LNG) market, while bullish oil
contracts boosted buying, traders said.
Investment bank Goldman Sachs said in a note on Thursday
morning that it expected the global LNG market to tighten and
European spot gas prices to reconnect with oil-indexed prices,
sending a bullish signal to the UK gas market.
"We expect global LNG demand to outpace supply, and test
effective LNG production capacity. Hence, we maintain our view
that European spot and oil-indexed natural gas prices will
re-connect on a sustainable basis this year," the bank said.
The UK gas market is increasingly dependent on LNG imports
as domestic supplies decline and traders are uncertain about how
much LNG supply will be re-directed in the short term to Japan,
where some of the nuclear capacity lost following the March
tsunami is being replaced by higher gas consumption.
"(The market) could be tight this summer. We have obviously
been seeing a bit less arrive in the UK recently, but it's
difficult to know exactly what is happening with Japanese/Asian
demand," one UK energy trader said.
Gas for delivery in winter 2011/12 rose to 72.00 pence per
therm on Thursday morning, a fresh three-week high and up 0.80
pence from the previous session's closing price.
Brent crude oil also rose on Thursday, climbing above $114
per barrel on the back of a higher-than-expected drop in U.S.
crude stocks.
UK gas prices are indirectly affected by oil prices because
stronger oil means that continental European gas suppliers may
buy more gas in the UK over coming months as their oil-indexed
supplies rise in price.
The prompt market also traded higher on Thursday as the gas
system was undersupplied in the morning on the back of a drop in
input from LNG terminals.
Gas flows from the Isle of Grain and South Hook terminals
fell by around 20 million cubic metres (mcm), leaving the system
around 4 mcm undersupplied.
Gas for delivery on Thursday rose to 56.70 pence, up 0.30
pence from the previous session, while Friday gas added 0.55
pence to 56.65 pence.
In Britain's over-the-counter power market spot prices fell
slightly on the back of the usual drop in power demand ahead of
the weekend, but a series of nuclear reactor outages kept supply
margins relatively tight.
Baseload power for day-ahead power fell to 49.30 pounds per
megawatt-hour, down 20 pence from the previous session.
But around 3 gigawatts (GW) of nuclear power capacity were
still offline on Thursday, keeping power prices near the
40-pound mark.
(Reporting by Karolin Schaps, editing by Anthony Barker)
(karolin.schaps@thomsonreuters.com)(+44 207 542 6622)(Reuters
Messaging: karolin.schaps.reuters.com@reuters.net))
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