RTRS:METALS-Copper falls; growth prospects in U.S., Europe hurt
By Susan Thomas
LONDON, Sept 9 (Reuters) - Copper fell on Friday, alongside global equities,
on unrelieved worries about economic growth and the impact on metals demand
after the U.S. and Europe failed to convince investors they had firm plans to
fix their troubled economies.
The euro sank to its lowest in nearly six months against the dollar, making
metals priced in the U.S. unit more expensive for holders of other currencies.
U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke gave no steer on new stimulus
measures, and President Barack Obama's proposed $447 billion growth and job
creation package failed to soothe investors.
The economic gloom is the backdrop of a meeting of G7 finance chiefs on
Friday who are under heavy pressure to take action to revive flagging economic
growth in rich nations and calm the biggest confidence crisis since the credit
crunch.
"It's certainly the case that the base metals markets are a bit lower, hand
in hand with the fall we've seen in equity markets, and other financial
markets," Nic Brown, head of commodities research at Natixis. "There are clearly
concerns about growth."
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange was down 1.7 percent
at $8,964 a tonne by 1020 GMT from $9,115 at the close on Thursday.
Even data showing that inflation in China pulled back in August from a
three-year high in July, failed to lift sentiment in the base metals market. The
data lends support for a pause in Beijing's policy tightening campaign.
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But Brown said the growth concerns were overplayed. "I'm an optimist," he
said, "and I think the longer term prognosis is good."
He pointed to substantial de-stocking of metals in China and elsewhere.
Data on Friday showed withdrawals from LME-monitored warehouses across most
major contracts, apart from tin and zinc, helped by the arbitrage -- lower
three-month LME metal prices than the most active Shanghai contract prices.
The fall in copper stocks was small, but there were some healthy orders from
South Korea. Lead stocks fell by 925 tonnes, with lots of deliveries out in what
appears to be a pick-up in demand.
"I would look at the situation in China as one where, whether because it's
concerns about economic growth or more likely because of monetary tightening,
inventories have to come down quite substantially, and they are currently at low
levels," Brown said.
"I think Chinese consumers are aware they will have to rebuild those
inventories in the not too distant future."
Tight supplies will also continue to underpin copper prices.
A strike at Peru's third-largest copper mine, Cerro Verde, as well as a
strike scheduled from Sept. 15 to Oct. 15 at Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold's
Grasberg mine in Indonesia, the world's third-largest, threaten to
squeeze supply
In nickel, LME-monitored warehouses have reported big outflows in recent
days as physical consumers have reportedly started to step up purchases of
refined nickel, used to produce stainless steel.
"At current price levels, major steel producers are reportedly using more
refined nickel again as the cost advantage of competing nickel pig iron has
softened," Credit Suisse said in a note.
"This should provide nickel with some fresh impetus on the demand side.
While the sector will continue to depend on the broader macro economic
environment, fundamental dynamics point to further price support."
LME nickel fell 2.4 percent to $21,559, from $22,050 at the close
on Thursday.
Tin was $23,875 from $24,475, zinc was $2,211 from $2,251,
lead was $2,443 from $2,490, and aluminium was $2,390 from
$2,420.
Metal Prices at 1017 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in
yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2010 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 405.45 -7.80 -1.89 444.70 -8.83
LME Alum 2420.00 0.00 +0.00 2470.00 -2.02
LME Cu 9114.50 -0.50 -0.01 9600.00 -5.06
LME Lead 2490.00 0.00 +0.00 2550.00 -2.35
LME Nickel 22075.00 25.00 +0.11 24750.00 -10.81
LME Tin 24475.00 0.00 +0.00 26900.00 -9.01
LME Zinc 2250.00 -1.00 -0.04 2454.00 -8.31
SHFE Alu 17485.00 50.00 +0.29 16840.00 3.83
SHFE Cu* 67620.00 -100.00 -0.15 71850.00 -5.89
SHFE Zin 17125.00 55.00 +0.32 19475.00 -12.07
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07