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BLBG:Oil Climbs on Optimism Europe Will Tame Debt Crisis, Boosting Fuel Demand
 
Oil rose for a second day in New York on speculation European governments will contain their sovereign-debt crisis, limiting its impact on the global economy and demand for raw materials.
Futures gained as much as 3.4 percent, trimming the biggest quarterly decline since the global financial crisis in 2008. U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy F. Geithner predicted Europe will intensify efforts to contain its debt problems after being pressured at international meetings in Washington last week. European stocks climbed for a third day.
“It’s a ‘risk-on’ day for oil,” said Thorbjorn Bak Jensen, an analyst at Global Risk Management in Middelfart, Denmark, who predicts Brent will average $107 in the fourth quarter. “Investors are hoping the European Central Bank will pull a rabbit out of the hat, in the form of an increase in the strength of the bond-buying program.”
Crude for November delivery climbed as much as $2.76 to $83 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It was at $82.76 at 12:51 p.m. London time. Oil has dropped 13 percent from the end of June, the biggest quarterly loss since the three months ended December 2008. Prices are down 6.8 percent this month and 9.4 percent this year.
Brent futures for November settlement on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange rose as much as $2.25, or 2.2 percent, to $106.19 a barrel. The European benchmark contract is down 6.2 percent this quarter. It traded at a premium of $22.74 to U.S. futures, down from a record $26.87 on Sept. 6.
Credible Plan
“If there’s a credible plan that is good enough and certain enough to restore reasonable confidence to the world, then a lot of things are going to look cheap at current prices and that probably includes oil,” said Ric Spooner, a chief market analyst at CMC Markets in Sydney.
Treasury Secretary Geithner said in a television interview on ABC that comments by European leaders at the annual International Monetary Fund meetings foreshadowed an “escalation” in measures to contain the debt crisis.
The benchmark Stoxx Europe 600 Index climbed 3.3 percent to 227.63 as of 12:52 p.m. in London. The Dollar Index fell for a second day, increasing the appeal of commodities priced in the U.S. currency.
Oil in New York has technical support around $80.35 a barrel, after settling above its lower Bollinger Band yesterday, based on data compiled by Bloomberg. Buy orders tend to be clustered near chart-support levels.
U.S. crude stockpiles probably climbed 2.2 million barrels in the week to Sept. 23 as demand weakened in the world’s largest oil-consuming nation, according to the median estimate of 11 analysts surveyed by Bloomberg News before an Energy Department report tomorrow. Gasoline inventories are expected to have risen 1 million barrels to the highest in two months, the survey showed.
To contact the reporter on this story: Ben Sharples in Melbourne at bsharples@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Alexander Kwiatkowski in Singapore at akwiatkowsk2@bloomberg.net
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