Home

 
India Bullion iPhone Application
  Quick Links
Currency Futures Trading

MCX Strategy

Precious Metals Trading

IBCRR

Forex Brokers

Technicals

Precious Metals Trading

Economic Data

Commodity Futures Trading

Fixes

Live Forex Charts

Charts

World Gold Prices

Reports

Forex COMEX India

Contact Us

Chat

Bullion Trading Bullion Converter
 

$ Price :

 
 

Rupee :

 
 

Price in RS :

 
 
Specification
  More Links
Forex NCDEX India

Contracts

Live Gold Prices

Price Quotes

Gold Bullion Trading

Research

Forex MCX India

Partnerships

Gold Commodities

Holidays

Forex Currency Trading

Libor

Indian Currency

Advertisement

 
RTRS:FOREX-Euro under pressure, hovers near 8-mth low vs dlr
 
* Greek draft budget forecasts bigger deficits than targets
* Euro hits 8-mth trough as macro funds sell; more downside
seen
* 1-yr euro/dlr risk reversals loom near record highs
By Anirban Nag
LONDON, Oct 3 (Reuters) - The euro hovered near an
eight-month trough against the dollar and a decade low against
the yen on Monday, as mounting fears of a Greek default deepened
investor worries about the health of the euro zone's banking
sector.
With Europe still deeply divided over how to tackle the
spiralling debt crisis and the risks that poses for the bigger
euro zone economies and the financial sector, the euro is likely
to stay under pressure, traders said.
The euro was down 0.4 percent at $1.3332 , having
fallen to a low of $1.3313 -- its lowest since mid-January. The
shared currency?lost 7 percent in September -- its largest
monthly drop since November 2010. Traders cited talk of option
barriers at $1.3300, $1.3275 and $1.3250.
Against the safe-haven yen, the euro was down 0.6 percent at
102.50 yen , not far from its decade low of 101.95
struck on trading platform EBS late last month.
Stocks, commodities and high-yielding currencies ground
lower on expectations of cooling global growth, prompting both
leveraged and macro funds to unwind positions funded in the
dollar and the yen. As a result, the risk-sensitive Australian
dollar hit a 10-month low at $0.9592 .
European shares fell with banking stocks coming under fresh
pressure. Moody's said it was reviewing the ratings of troubled
financial services group Dexia for possible downgrade,
highlighting the troubles of the banking sector.
French daily Les Echos reported Belgian and French finance
ministers will meet on Monday to discuss ways to shore up the
balance sheet of Dexia, reminding investors of the problems euro
zone banks face due to their exposure to peripheral debt.
"Euro zone banks remain a big issue and we expect the euro's
downside to continue," said George Saravelos, G10 FX strategist
at Deutsche Bank.
"But the focus will shift to monetary policy and growth this
week. There is a chance that there could be a short squeeze in
the euro in the near term if the European Central Bank does not
provide the support some investors are looking for."
The ECB meets this week and some investors are expecting the
central bank will cut rates by 25 basis points. Concerns about
the funding outlook for European banks could add to calls for
more liquidity measures from the ECB this week and also instill
some urgency to the discussion among policymakers about beefing
up the euro zone's rescue fund.
Euro zone finance ministers hold a meeting later and are
expected to put pressure on Greece to implement agreed
structural reforms and to discuss options for leveraging the
European Financial Stability Facility (EFSF), to increase its
financial firepower.
That meeting comes after Greece said it will miss a deficit
target set just months ago.
With the debt crisis showing little signs of abating, the
euro zone's manufacturing contraction deepened in September as
new orders shrank at their fastest pace since June 2009. Factory
activity in some Asia's biggest economies also slumped to levels
last seen during the worst of the global financial crisis, data
released on Monday showed.

EURO SHORT POSITIONS
Speculators have been adding to their bearish bets against
the euro and this trend is likely to continue.
"The market is short euro and rightly so, with fundamental
factors backing it up," said Chris Walker, forex analyst at UBS.
"We could see some term unwinding, but that will give investors
a better level to sell. We expect investors to continue building
short positions against the euro."
The options market points to a strong appetite for long-term
euro/dollar puts -- bets that the euro will weaken. One-year
risk reversal spreads continued to widen and hit
a record high around 4.0 at the end of last week and still stand
near that level.
The euro's losses saw the dollar index rise to an
eight month high of 79.154. It was last up 0.6 percent at
79.026. Currency speculators increased bets on the U.S. dollar
to their highest since June 2010, and Saravelos at Deutsche
reckons more bullish positions could be added in the coming
weeks.
The greenback eased on the yen to 76.90 yen, having hit a
two-week high at 77.27 yen and breaking above its 55-day
moving average at 77.17 for the first time since its spike after
intervention on Aug. 4. Stop losses loom around 77.30 yen, while
orders are seen around 77.50, yen traders said.
Tokyo dealers also reported macro funds building dollar long
positions and analysts said that if the current crisis deepened,
this time the yen could weaken versus the dollar, unlike the
global financial crisis in 2008.

(Editing by John Stonestreet/Ruth Pitchford)

Source