RTRS:VEGOILS-New weather fears support palm oil futures
* Palm oil up on La Nina worries, other edible oils mostly
down
* Malaysia deputy PM says impending rains could be
"devastating"
* Strong export numbers also hold up market
(adds details, comments)
By Niluksi Koswanage
KUALA LUMPUR, Nov 1 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures
edged up on Tuesday on concerns that heavy rains at the end of
the year could stall harvesting and inundate estates just as
export demand remains robust.
Weather offices around the world have confirmed a La Nina
weather phenomenon, which brings heavier-than-usual rains to
Southeast Asia, is developing in the region and will coincide
with the monsoon rains at the end of the year.
The weather condition is likely to give support to benchmark
palm oil futures that have lost more than 22 percent so far this
year on the unfolding euro zone debt crisis, high stocks and
prospects of big soy crops.
"Better exports and concerns that the weather will affect
palm oil production are giving some support to the futures
market," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage.
"It won't be surprising if the market moves above 3,000
ringgit again."
By the midday break, benchmark January palm oil futures
FCPOc3 on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange had risen
0.2 percent to 2,944 ringgit ($959.583) off a high of 2,958
ringgit.
Overall traded volumes stood at 6,288 lots at 25 tonnes
each, compared to the usual 12,500 lots as investors remained
cautious over the state of the global economy.
Technicals were slightly bearish, with Reuters analyst Wang
Tao saying palm oil will fall further to 2,881 ringgit per
tonne, as a rebound that started from the Oct. 6 low of 2,754
ringgit has been completed.
Malaysian media on Tuesday cited Malaysia's Deputy Prime
Minister Muhyiddin Yassin as saying weather reports indicated
the impending rains could be "devastating" and the floods could
be the worst in decades.
La Nina-driven floods earlier this year last swamped oil
palm estates in Malaysia's top growing states of southern Johor
bordering Singapore and Sabah on Borneo island in mid-February,
pushing prices to a 2011 high of 3,967 ringgit.
For now, production appears to be strong with traders
expecting Malaysian palm oil stocks to record an increase
despite the strong export data reported for October the previous
day.
"It looks like the fundamentals are going to change again,
the high stocks we have are eventually going to come down if La
Nina storms in," said another Malaysian trader.
Other related markets were under pressure. Oil prices
slipped on Tuesday on a stronger U.S. dollar, continuing
uncertainty about the resolution of the euro zone's debt crisis
and the collapse of MF Global Holdings.
U.S. soyoil for December delivery dropped 0.2 percent
in Asian trade as strong progress with the soybean harvests
weighed on the soy complex.
China's most active May 2012 soybean oil contract <0#DBY:>
also fell on global macro-economic fears.
"From a macro and fundamental perspective, the market's
focus this week would be on the G20 summit," said Huang Zhi
Qiang, Guotai Junan Futures, referring to the meeting in Cannes,
France on Nov. 3-4 that will focus on the euro zone crisis.
"For now, China's demand for soyoil stays more or less the
same though imports are expected to be higher than the third
quarter," he added.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0525 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL NOV1 2943 +1.00 2943 2944 10
MY PALM OIL DEC1 2945 +1.00 2944 2955 987
MY PALM OIL JAN2 2944 +6.00 2943 2958 3308
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY2 7930 -44.00 7910 8000 93762
CHINA SOYOIL MAY2 9198 -42.00 9176 9264 276880
CBOT SOY OIL DEC1 51.04 -0.13 50.98 51.32 2304
NYMEX CRUDE DEC1 92.48 -0.71 92.29 92.88 4513
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1=3.068 Ringgit)
(Additional reporting by Chew Yee Kiat in SINGAPORE;Editing by
Clarence Fernandez)