RTRS: METALS-Copper falls on Italy, Greece debt woes
* Investors await details on Greek unity govt
* Italian PM faces no-confidence vote
* Copper stocks fall in London, rise in Shanghai
By Maytaal Angel
LONDON, Nov 7 (Reuters) - Copper fell on Monday, with investors struggling
to see better demand prospects as economic and political difficulties in Greece
and Italy fuelled concern that Europe's debt crisis is unravelling.
Greece's politicians agreed late on Sunday to form a unity government to
approve a euro zone bailout, but details remain thin, despite an EU ultimatum
for Athens to get serious about tackling its huge problems.
Fuelling this gloomy outlook were events in Italy, where Prime Minister
Silvio Berlusconi has one day left before a parliament vote on public finance
after his government failed to adopt reforms to defuse a dangerous debt crisis.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange traded at $7,810 a
tonne in official rings, down from Friday's close of $7,865 a tonne. Earlier the
metal fell to a low of $7,719.75 a tonne.
"Markets are nervous and given the economic slowdown not only in the
eurozone, we have a cautious assessment in the near term," said Credit Suisse
analyst Tobias Merath.
But he added: "We think recession can be avoided and ultimately the
valuation argument will be more convincing - (metals) are starting to look
cheaply valued - and over one year we have a favourable forecast."
The deal on the new Greek coalition still lacks an agreed prime minister, a
duration and a clear mandate, though it will allow Greece to collect the
international loan installment it needs before it runs out of cash in December.
But investor attention has now shifted to Italy, the euro zone's
third-biggest economy, which poses a far graver risk to the eurozone than
Greece. With its borrowing costs soaring and 1.9 trillion euros in public debt,
it is too large to bail out.
"Policy markers' solutions and plans still seem to be lacking. In this
environment and with the need for budget deficits to be cut to get to the root
of the problems, it seems very hard not to expect recession to follow," said
BaseMetals.com analyst William Adams in a note.
Italian/German 10-year government bond yield spread hit its widest levels
since 1997 on Monday, a day before Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi faces a
no-confidence vote.
SUPPLY SQUEEZE
Ongoing signs of increased tightness in the supply of metals offered
support.
Latest LME data showed copper stocks held in official warehouses fell 2,525
tonnes to 415,325 tonnes, down more than 12 percent since the start of October.
"Inventories at the LME continue to fall, while latest data from the
Shanghai Futures Exchange show mostly rising inventories. As a consequence of
this mixed data, we have seen fairly large two way price swings recently. This
week, we could see calmer trading conditions," said Credit Suisse in a note.
Also limiting losses in metals was news from China.
According to the China Securities Journal, the world's top copper consumer
is likely to inject more than 1 trillion yuan ($158 billion) into the money
market in the next two months via annual subsidies from the Ministry of Finance.
In industry news, CME Group and Intercontinental Exchange Inc
lowered margin requirements on some accounts in a move over the weekend
to limit the fallout from the MF Global Holdings Ltd bankruptcy on
futures markets.
In other metals traded, soldering metal tin was at $21,950 a tonne
in official rings, from $22,050 on Friday. Zinc , used in galvanizing was
untraded in official rings, but bid at $1,926 a tonne from $1,950 a tonne on
Friday.
Tin remains underpinned by the fact that 25 smelters in the world's largest
tin exporter are maintaining a self-imposed tin ingot shipping ban until the end
of December, as they look to support benchmark prices.
Battery material lead was untraded in official rings, but bid at
$1,997 a tonne from $2,048. Aluminium was at $2,142 a tonne from $2,141
and nickel traded at $18,670 a tonne from $18,900
Metal Prices at 1306 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2010 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 354.35 -2.10 -0.59 444.70 -20.32
LME Alum 2138.25 -2.75 -0.13 2470.00 -13.43
LME Cu 7820.75 -44.25 -0.56 9600.00 -18.53
LME Lead 1998.00 -50.00 -2.44 2550.00 -21.65
LME Nickel 18651.00 -249.00 -1.32 24750.00 -24.64
LME Tin 21900.00 -150.00 -0.68 26900.00 -18.59
LME Zinc 1927.00 -23.00 -1.18 2454.00 -21.48
SHFE Alu 16275.00 -105.00 -0.64 16840.00 -3.36
SHFE Cu* 57950.00 -1410.00 -2.38 71850.00 -19.35
SHFE Zin 15345.00 -205.00 -1.32 19475.00 -21.21
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07