RTRS:VEGOILS-Palm drops from 5-month top on gloomy global outlook
* Market buying has been overdone
* Malaysian Nov 1-20 palm oil exports firm
* EU debt crisis, US deficit reduction problems stir
concerns
(Updates prices, comments)
By Chew Yee Kiat
KUALA LUMPUR, Nov 21 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil
dropped on Monday from a five-month high hit last week on
concerns buying was overdone, while the euro zone debt crisis
and an apparent failure by the U.S. politicians to agree on a
deficit reduction plan also hurt sentiment.
The gloomy economic climate pushed palm below 3,200 ringgit
although strong fundamentals such as exports data issued by
cargo surveryors and La-Nina driven rains are expected to
provide support.
"External factors are putting a lot of pressure on the
Malaysian market, especially the drop in European equity market
due to lingering doubts on the euro zone crisis," said a trader
with a foreign commodities brokerage.
Benchmark February palm oil futures on the Bursa
Malaysia Derivatives Exchange closed 1.8 percent lower at 3,191
ringgit ($1,000) per tonne. Prices touched a peak of 3,270 on
Friday, a level not seen since June 15.
Overall traded volumes stood at 32,418 lots at 25 tonnes
each, higher than the usual 25,000 lots as activity picked up
from the midday break.
Reuters analyst Wang Tao said palm oil will retrace to 3,134
ringgit per tonne, as indicated by its wave pattern and a
Fibonacci retracement analysis.
The market is bracing for low production in the last quarter
due to a seasonal decline in yields and the prospects of a La
Nina weather condition making the seasonal monsoon rains worse,
hampering harvesting.
Some traders said Malaysian palm exports will continue to be
strong as buyers like China, India and Pakistan are restocking
after major festivals in the third quarter.
"The threat of supply disruption is also spurring more
orders and we could see solid November export numbers," said
another trader in Malaysia.
Exports of Malaysian palm oil products for Nov. 1-20 rose
0.6 percent to 1,037,923 tonnes from 1,031,953 tonnes shipped
during Oct. 1-20, cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services said.
Another cargo surveyor Societe Generale de Surveillance said
exports for the same period were almost flat at 1,033,040 tonnes
compared to 1,033,454 tonnes a month ago.
U.S. crude oil futures fell more than $2 per barrel
on Monday on worries over global growth, weighing on other
vegetable oil markets.
U.S. soyoil for December delivery edged down 0.9
percent while China's most active May 2012 soybean oil contract
<0#DBY:> slipped 0.3 percent.
"The Dalian soy bean oil market has been weaker today as it
is dragged down by the CBOT market which recently hit its
one-year low," said Huang Zhi Qiang, an analyst with Guotai &
Junan.
"Market is mostly bearish because of the European situation
and this is not expected to change soon ... even with rumours
saying that China is importing more American beans," the analyst
added.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1010 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL DEC1 3195 -76.00 3195 3260 2485
MY PALM OIL JAN2 3195 -65.00 3195 3258 6247
MY PALM OIL FEB2 3191 -57.00 3190 3257 16406
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY2 8152 -26.00 8126 8212 161888
CHINA SOYOIL MAY2 9098 -28.00 9058 9124 174222
CBOT SOY OIL DEC1 50.51 -0.37 50.42 51.00 5714
NYMEX CRUDE JAN2 95.89 -1.78 95.61 97.86 24863
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel