RTRS:Kenya shilling snaps rally as dollar demand kicks in
* High end-month dollar demand weighs on shilling
* Offshore investors profit-take on dollar positions
* Tea inflows expected to support shilling
NAIROBI, Nov 23 (Reuters) - The Kenyan shilling
broke a five-day rally on Wednesday, weakening 0.4 percent
against the dollar on greenback demand fuelled by profit-taking,
but anticipated inflows from the tea sector were seen supporting
the local currency.
Kenya's central bank changed another key policy aim by
almost-doubling this fiscal year's inflation target to 9
percent, just weeks after being driven to make a huge rate rise
to combat soaring inflation and save the plunging shilling.
But currency traders said the new numbers came as no
surprise to the market which had already factored the double
digit rate of inflation -- 18.9 percent in October -- and the
outlook into prices.
"The market did not react. I can only assumed that they
(central bank) have realised that it might take them slightly
longer to come back within the original 7-3 percent range," said
Ignatius Chicha head of markets at Citibank.
Instead, profit-taking on the shilling once it breached the
key psychological level of 90 was blamed for the slide.
The shilling fell to an all-time low of 107 against the
dollar on Oct 11, leaving it down 25 percent against the
greenback at the time.
After a crisis of confidence making in Kenya's policymaking
had hammered the market, the central bank stepped in, raising
its key lending rate by 9.5 percentage points since early
October. The huge move drove up overnight borrowing costs,
triggered an acute liquidity crunch as banks chased scarce
shillings and helped cut commercial banks' demand for hard
currency, spurring the rally in the local currency.
At 0700 GMT, commercial banks quoted the shilling at
90.30/50 to the U.S. currency, weaker than Tuesday's close of
89.90/90.10.
"We have seen end-month demand from oil, energy, corporate
and manufacturing because the dollar is at a good rate, to cover
their obligations," Sameer Lagadia, head of trading at Diamond
Trust Bank, told Reuters.
Lagadia said some banks were also short-covering on their
dollar positions, further putting pressure on the shilling. Many
banks have been forced to sell dollars to fund shilling
positions due to a severe liquidity crunch in the market.
The Central Bank of Kenya has held a tight monetary
policy stance geared towards taming double digit inflation and
currency volatility, sending the interbank average lending rate
to 30.6 percent on Tuesday.
"We have seen a bit of offshore participation ... some of
them are taking profits on their short dollar positions," one
trader said.
Traders said dollar inflows from the tea sector were
expected during the session.