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RTRS:VEGOILS-Palm oil slips on demand outlook, industry meeting eyed
 
* Refined palm oil discount to soyoil at six month low
* Cargo surveyors issue Malaysia Nov export data on
Wednesday
* Markets eyes Indonesian palm oil conference this week

(Updates prices, adds export outlook)
By Niluksi Koswanage
KUALA LUMPUR, Nov 29 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil
futures slipped on Tuesday on concerns of slower demand,
although prospects of erratic weather hurting production limited
losses.
Traders shifted their focus from the euro zone debt crisis
to prospects of weaker demand as refined palm oil products
narrowed their discount to South American soyoil to $28 per
tonne, the lowest in six months.
The tightening discount comes as favourable weather in South
America raised prospects of a bumper soybean crop and La
Nina-driven monsoon rains stirred concerns of weaker yields and
a supply squeeze.
"There is no real impetus for the market to move higher.
There are concerns over the demand trend with palm oil
drastically reducing its discount to Argentine soyoil," said a
trader with a foreign commodities brokerage.
"The market is not really falling either and that is because
people do not want to be caught with their pants down if La Nina
becomes really bad and destroys output," he added.
Benchmark February palm oil futures on the Bursa
Malaysia Derivatives Exchange closed 0.2 percent lower at 3,062
ringgit ($958) per tonne. Prices fell as low as 3,054, just a
whisker away from a two-week low hit on Friday.
Overall traded volumes stood at 23,135 lots of 25 tonnes
each, lower than the usual 25,000 lots as trading was thin after
a long weekend holiday.
Traders are expecting a slow week as industry players attend
the Indonesian Palm Oil Conference and Price Outlook 2012 on the
island of Bali. Industry analysts, including Dorab Mistry and
James Fry, present their views on Friday.
"The market is waiting to see if these analysts will
continue to keep a bullish outlook for the palm oil market,"
said another trader in Kuala Lumpur.
"If they are bullish we could see some volatility in the
markets due to the thin volumes," he added.
For more stories on the conference that starts on Wednesday,
click:
Some traders said Malaysia's November palm oil production
may fall by 15-18 percent on heavy monsoon rains and a seasonal
decline in yields. They forecast palm oil prices to surge above
3,200 ringgit.
The Malaysia Meteorological Department, however, has not
issued any heavy rain warnings so far for this week, suggesting
a lull in a weather pattern that might otherwise reduce
harvesting rounds in oil palm estates and trigger floods.
Exports have started to come off a little, cargo surveyor
data showed last week, and any further declines may provide
relief to tightening stocks.
Industry sources expect Malaysia's November exports to be
lower at 1.53 million tonnes, compared to the 1.65 and 1.68
million tonnes shipped out as reported by cargo surveyors in
October.
Cargo surveyor Intertek Testing Services and Societe
Generale de Surveillance will issue November exports data on
Wednesday.
In other markets, Brent fell below $109 on Tuesday after
posting its largest gains in a month in the previous session as
investors took profits and watched keenly to see how Europe
would tackle its debt crisis at a meeting later in the day.

U.S. soyoil for December delivery slipped 0.2 percent
in Asian trade as rainstorms over the weekend in Argentina's
farming region boosted soil moisture, setting the stage for
bumper soy crops.
China's most active May 2012 soybean oil contract <0#DBY:>,
however, edged up 0.3 per cent.

Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1007 GMT

Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL DEC1 3058 -12.00 3055 3095 539
MY PALM OIL JAN2 3064 -3.00 3058 3105 3815
MY PALM OIL FEB2 3062 -7.00 3054 3104 12484
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY2 7864 +40.00 7780 7880 153026
CHINA SOYOIL MAY2 8702 +28.00 8632 8718 344326
CBOT SOY OIL JAN2 48.87 -0.28 48.68 49.19 8526
NYMEX CRUDE JAN2 98.40 +0.19 97.23 98.50 16610

Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1 = 3.1960 ringgit)
Source