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RTRS:VEGOILS-Palm oil edges up on bullish fundamentals
 
* Palm oil set for bull market in 2012 - Mistry
* Weak global economy, high premium to Brent to weigh on
palm oil - Fry
* Palm futures to fall to 3,011 ringgit - technicals

(Updates prices, adds comments)
By Chew Yee Kiat
SINGAPORE, Dec 2 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil
futures gained on Friday, reversing earlier losses as prospects
of lower production and expectations of rising demand
overshadowed lingering concerns about the health of the global
economy.
Industry sources expect lower production in November due to
La Nina-driven rains and a seasonal decline in yields, while
demand for palm oil is seen picking up soon as China will
replenish its stocks ahead of the Chinese New Year festival in
January.
"It's a tug of war today between local weather play and
technical weakness. Next week's focus will shift to the November
production numbers," said a Kuala Lumpur-based dealer.
Benchmark February palm oil futures on the Bursa
Malaysia Derivatives Exchange inched up 0.1 percent to close at
3,062 Malaysian ringgit ($980) per tonne.
Overall traded volumes stood at 19,048 lots of 25 tonnes
each, thinner than the usual 25,000 lots as the industry attends
the Indonesia Palm Oil Conference and Price Outlook 2012.
Leading industry ministry Dorab Mistry said at the
conference that weaker growth in Southeast Asian palm oil
production and normal demand expansion will set the stage for a
bull market next year. He stuck to his earlier price forecast
for palm oil to hit 3,300 ringgit in January.
But another top analyst, James Fry, had a less bullish view.
The London-based analyst said prices may come under pressure as
a looming global economic recession weighs on Brent crude oil,
making the edible oil less attractive for use in competing
biodiesel.
A price poll carried out at the conference also showed
average palm oil prices to fall to 3,115 ringgit a tonne next
year, on expectations of output recovery and a bleak global
economic outlook.
For more stories on the Bali conference, click

Reuters analyst Wang Tao maintained a bearish view,
expecting palm oil to revisit the Nov. 30 low of 3,011 ringgit
per tonne, as a rebound from this level has completed.

Production is expected to fall as the Malaysian
Meteorological Department issued a yellow stage warning that
heavy rain may persist until Saturday and cause floods over
low-lying areas in parts of Pahang and Johor -- two key oil
palm-growing areas that account for around 30 percent of
production in Malaysia.
Oil rose towards $110 a barrel on Friday as evidence of a
sustained recovery in the United States and rising tension over
major oil exporter Iran countered concern about the euro zone
debt crisis.
In other vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for December
delivery gained 0.2 percent while China's most active May
2012 soybean oil contract <0#DBY:> went up 0.1 percent.

Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1005 GMT

Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL DEC1 3028 -12.00 3005 3035 754
MY PALM OIL JAN2 3053 -9.00 3030 3070 1616
MY PALM OIL FEB2 3062 +4.00 3035 3075 10795
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY2 7958 -2.00 7924 7980 89494
CHINA SOYOIL MAY2 8820 +10.00 8784 8840 279726
CBOT SOY OIL JAN2 49.81 +0.11 49.65 49.95 5552
NYMEX CRUDE JAN2 100.75 +0.55 99.89 101.09 14811

Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel

Source