RTRS:METALS-Copper rises after surprise U.S. data, dollar softens
* Dollar falls against basket of currencies
* Indonesia plans export tax on range of commodities
* Coming up: U.S. core CPI, Nov, 1330 GMT
By Susan Thomas
LONDON, Dec 16 (Reuters) - Copper rose on Friday,
paring losses for the week, on a retreating dollar and firm U.S.
economic data, but gains looked vulnerable with Europe's debt
crisis and its impact on metals demand still a big worry.
Industrial metals have fallen this year as Europe's problems
stunt economic growth, sap banks' lending for commodity trading
and threaten to dampen demand for goods exported by emerging
nations.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange rose
1.6 percent to $7,330 a tonne by 1026 GMT, trimming losses for
the week to 6.1 percent.
Metals have been getting some support from a steadier tone
in wider markets, and a halt in the slide of the euro against
the dollar, said head of trading Steve Hardcastle of Sucden
Financial.
"The funds have been running a little bit short, so to that
extent if we are seeing end of year book squaring then it might
be a bit more supportive than feared. I think the market is
going to run quietly into Christmas," Hardcastle said.
Copper is still headed for its biggest weekly loss since the
end of September and the first annual decline in three years.
"In the current environment we would argue that it is still
too early to buy industrial metals," Credit Suisse said in a
note. "However, yesterday's economic data already gave a hint
that fortunes could turn more positive for industrial metals in
2012."
Surprising resilience in the U.S. economy and corporate
sector underpinned investor appetite for risky assets into the
year end, although trading is thinning out ahead of a holiday
season.
U.S. jobless claims on Thursday fell to a 3-1/2-year low
and a survey showed New York factories picked up speed this
month.
"As of now, these factors are still in the backseat given
the liquidity stress. However at one point in 2012, we think
industrial metals could start to recover significantly," Credit
Suisse said.
TURBULENT
Possible cuts in the credit ratings of euro zone countries
are looming after a key European Union summit last week offered
little respite to turbulent euro zone bond markets and
cash-starved European banks.
Europe's top central banker said that euro zone governments
are on the right track to restore market confidence but reminded
them that an emergency programme to buy their bonds was "neither
eternal nor infinite".
The volatility the crisis has caused has led to losses at
brokers and banks.
Credit Agricole this week said it will stop
trading commodities and slash its financing of the
multi-billion-dollar commodities trade as the euro zone crisis
worsens.
The dollar fell against a basket of currencies, as
the euro steadied. A weaker dollar makes metals priced in the
U.S. unit less expensive for holders of other currencies.
Price gains may be capped as production at mines resumes
following labour disputes.
Freeport McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc expects full
operations at its Indonesia mine to start by early 2012 after
reaching a pay deal on Wednesday to end a three-month strike
that paralysed output at the world's second-biggest copper
deposit.
But warehouse inventories of copper are rising.
Copper inventories in warehouses monitored by the Shanghai
Futures Exchange rose 9.4 percent from a week earlier, while
stocks in warehouses monitored by the LME fell 825 tonnes to
381,250 tonnes, representing around a week's worth of global
consumption.
Also, Japanese copper wire and cable shipments fell 0.4
percent in November from a year earlier to an estimated 60,400
tonnes, marking the second-lowest level for that month in the
past 35 years, an industry body said on Friday.
Japan's appetite for copper, often seen as a gauge of
economic activity and already weak in the wake of the global
financial crisis, took a fresh beating after the March
earthquake prompted user industries to reduce domestic
production.
Indonesia, a major global producer of raw materials, plans
to impose export taxes on a range of commodities, including
metals and rubber, as part of a raft of new fiscal policies for
next year, the industry minister said on Friday.
Three-month tin was flat at 18,600 per tonne.
Aluminium was up 1.3 percent at $2,000 from $1,975, zinc
was up 1.5 percent at $1,873 from $1,844.5, lead
was up 1 percent at $1,995 from $1,875, and nickel was
almost flat at $17,900 from $17,895.
Metal Prices at 1020 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2010 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 331.65 5.35 +1.64 444.70 -25.42
LME Alum 2000.00 25.00 +1.27 2470.00 -19.03
LME Cu 7330.00 119.00 +1.65 9600.00 -23.65
LME Lead 1992.25 17.25 +0.87 2550.00 -21.87
LME Nickel 17880.00 -15.00 -0.08 24750.00 -27.76
LME Tin 18600.00 0.00 +0.00 26900.00 -30.86
LME Zinc 1872.00 27.50 +1.49 2454.00 -23.72
SHFE Alu 15835.00 190.00 +1.21 16840.00 -5.97
SHFE Cu* 54300.00 1250.00 +2.36 71850.00 -24.43
SHFE Zin 14950.00 235.00 +1.60 19475.00 -23.23
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07