BLBG:Dollar Index Holds Decline Before U.S. Confidence, Manufacturing Reports
The Dollar Index held losses from last week before U.S. data forecast to show consumer confidence rose to the most since July and regional manufacturing gauges increased, reducing demand for haven assets.
Australia’s currency ended a five-day rally as Asian stocks slid. Demand for the euro was damped before Italy sells bills and bonds this week amid concern Europe’s debt crisis will drive up borrowing costs. Thailand’s baht weakened as investors reduced holdings of the nation’s assets.
“The U.S. economy is stronger than expected,” said Junichi Ishikawa, a Tokyo-based market analyst at IG Markets Securities Ltd. “That’s giving some support to stocks and risk currencies. The dollar tends to be sold in the risk-on environment.”
The Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against the currencies of six major U.S. trading partners, slid 0.1 percent to 79.843 as of 7:10 a.m. in London, having lost 0.2 percent last week. The euro was little changed at 101.81 yen. The 17- nation currency traded at $1.3070 from $1.3061. The dollar lost 0.1 percent to 77.89 yen.
Australia’s currency fell 0.2 percent to $1.0150. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index (MXAP) declined 0.2 percent after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index completed a 3.7 percent jump last week.
The dollar has depreciated 1.3 percent in the past month, according to Bloomberg Correlation-Weighted Indexes, which tracks 10 developed-nation currencies.
Consumer Confidence
An index of consumer confidence in the U.S. rose to 58.6 this month from 56 in November, according to the median estimate of economists surveyed by Bloomberg News. The New York-based Conference Board reports the figures today.
The Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond may say the overall business activity index for the central-Atlantic region climbed to 5 in December from 0 last month, economists said. Manufacturing in Texas increased to 4.5 this month from 3.2 in November, another poll showed. Both Fed reports are due today.
A “few” Bank of Japan board members said financial-market turmoil from the European debt crisis and the yen’s appreciation were increasing risks for growth, according to a record of last month’s board meeting released today.
The yen tends to gain during periods of financial stress as Japan’s export-reliant economy doesn’t need foreign capital to balance current accounts -- the broadest measure of trade. The currency has strengthened against all 16 of its most-traded peers this year, strengthening 4.2 percent against the dollar and 6.6 percent versus the euro.
Spain ‘Relapse’
Spain’s Economy and Competition Minister Luis de Guindos said yesterday in Madrid the nation’s economy has suffered a “relapse” and will contract as the People’s Party takes over the nation’s finances from the Socialists. “The next two quarters aren’t going to be easy,” he said.
Germany’s government is revising its forecast for 1 percent economic growth in 2012 and will present a lower figure in mid- January, Focus magazine reported, without citing anyone.
The nation’s economy ministry denied the Focus report, saying no decision has been made. An analysis of potential growth is still ongoing, a spokeswoman said in an e-mailed statement, declining to be identified citing ministry policy.
Italy is scheduled to sell 9 billion euros ($11.8 billion) of 179-day bills and as much as 2.5 billion euros of zero-coupon 2013 bonds tomorrow. Italy will auction debt due in 2014, 2018, 2021 and 2022 the following day.
Thai Baht
Ten-year bond yields in Italy advanced six basis points to 6.98 percent on Dec. 23, approaching the 7 percent level that spurred Greece, Ireland and Portugal to seek bailouts.
“The markets are waiting to see how much demand there’ll be for Italian debt,” said IG Markets’Ishikawa. “If the results deepen doubts about Italy’s funding ability, they will weigh on the euro.”
Thailand’s currency weakened for a third time in four days as overseas investors sold $3.8 million more of Thai stocks than they bought yesterday, bringing this year’s net sales to $200 million, according to exchange data. The baht slid 0.5 percent to 31.43 per dollar.
To contact the reporters on this story: Kristine Aquino in Singapore at kaquino1@bloomberg.net; Monami Yui in Tokyo at myui1@bloomberg.net
To contact the editor responsible for this story: Rocky Swift at rswift5@bloomberg.net
