RTRS:VEGOILS-Palm oil eases on renewed euro zone concerns, weather eyed
* Palm oil to slip to 3,139 ringgit - technicals
* Heavy rains may last till weekend in key M'sian oil palm
states
(Updates prices)
By Chew Yee Kiat
SINGAPORE, Jan 5 (Reuters) - Malaysian crude palm oil
futures slipped on Thursday on rekindled investor caution over
the euro zone debt crisis, although weather concerns in oilseed
growing regions limited losses.
A French bond auction due later in the day renewed jitters
about the ability of euro zone countries to refinance their
debt, a concern that drove palm oil prices down last year for
their first annual loss since 2008.
Traders are also eyeing prospects of dry weather in South
America lowering soy yields and heavy rains in Southeast Asia
disrupting palm oil production and boosting prices.
"There is not much activity, probably because it's the
beginning of the year. The weather is definitely a concern
here," said a trader with a foreign commodities brokerage in
Malaysia.
Benchmark March palm oil futures on the Bursa
Malaysia Derivatives Exchange closed 1.1 percent lower to 3,190
ringgit ($1,000) per tonne.
Traded volumes for palm oil futures on Thursday stood at
16,400 lots of 25 tonnes, thinner than the usual 25,000 lots.
"Traders are still cautious and it is still early to judge
the severity of drought in South America," said another dealer
with a foreign commodities brokerage in Malaysia.
Palm oil futures will fall to 3,139 ringgit per tonne,
according to a wave analysis and Fibonacci retracement, said
Reuters analyst Wang Tao.
The Malaysian Meteorological Department issued a warning
that heavy rains may last till the weekend in the key oil palm
growing states of Johor, Pahang, Sabah and Sarawak, which
account for almost three quarters of national palm oil output.
While there have not been any reports on serious disruption
due to floods, investors are watching the weather development
closely as stocks in No.2 producer Malaysia are likely to fall
to a five-month low in December.
Brent crude rose toward $114 a barrel on Thursday as fears
of an Iranian supply disruption mounted after the European Union
agreed to cut off oil imports from the No. 2 OPEC producer,
offsetting jitters over the euro zone crisis.
In other vegetable oil markets, weather worries in Argentina
continued to be a bullish factor.
U.S. soyoil for January delivery gained 0.1 percent
in Asian trade while the most active Sept 2012 soyoil contract
on China's Dalian commodity exchange rose 0.13 percent.
"We are still watching closely the South American weather
development, and maybe the Iranian situation with crude oil
right now," said Zhang Ru Ming, research manager with Liangyun
Futures in Dalian.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1001 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL JAN2 3205 -18.00 3200 3225 197
MY PALM OIL FEB2 3200 -23.00 3196 3234 1079
MY PALM OIL MAR2 3190 -35.00 3190 3232 11731
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY2 8096 -12.00 8056 8148 46408
CHINA SOYOIL SEP2 9108 +12.00 9052 9174 292632
CBOT SOY OIL MAR2 52.53 -0.50 52.52 53.13 5576
NYMEX CRUDE FEB2 102.58 -0.64 102.38 103.73 16192
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel