WSJ:WORLD FOREX: Euro, Aussie Dollar Jump As Market Shrugs Off Greece
-- Euro surges to above $1.30 against dollar despite stall in Greek talks
-- Australian dollar at strongest against greenback since Nov. 1, above $1.05
-- Market sentiment remains upbeat ahead of Eurogroup meeting later Monday
-- Nothing on the data front, Bank of Israel to set rates at 1530 GMT
By Jessica Mead
Of DOW JONES NEWSWIRES
LONDON (Dow Jones)--The euro and other currencies deemed as riskier bets shot higher in European trading hours Monday as currency traders shrugged off the apparent breakdown in the talks between the Greek government and its private sector creditors.
After a wallop in Asian trading hours, the euro surged to above the key $1.30 level against the dollar as traders closed negative bets on the euro ahead of the Eurogroup meeting of the 17 euro-zone finance ministers later Monday.
"Primarily the moves are down to positioning, squeezing the euro higher," said Adam Cole, chief currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets, adding that there's a good chance of further strength from here.
He pointed to the latest benchmark data on speculative bets, which showed that speculative traders added marginally to their record-breaking negative euro bets in the week to Jan. 17. The euro's weakness against many other major currencies Monday suggested traders were still willing to push the single currency lower, just not against the dollar.
Expectations that euro-zone finance ministers are moving closer to extending the lending capacity of the European Stability Mechanism bailout facility may also be adding to the upbeat market tone, according to currency strategists at Citigroup.
The Australian dollar--one of the market's favored gauges of general optimism--traded above $1.05 against the greenback for the first time since the start of November, supported in part by lower volatility and rising commodity prices as well as softer inflation and rising loan growth from China.
The New Zealand dollar also extended last week's rally to also trade at its strongest against the buck since Nov. 1.
In Europe's emerging markets, all currencies with the exception of the Czech koruna tracked the euro's climb against the dollar. The Bank of Israel will set interest rates at 1530 GMT, in what is expected to be a close call. Strategists are split between unchanged and a quarter-point cut.
At 1129 GMT, the euro was trading at $1.2998 against the dollar, compared with $1.2933 late Friday in New York, according to trading system EBS. The dollar was at Y76.89 against the yen, compared with Y77.02, while the euro was at Y99.92 compared with Y99.67. Meanwhile, the pound was trading at $1.5572 against the dollar, compared with $1.5576 late Friday in New York.
The ICE Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of currencies, was at 79.862 compared with 80.150 late Friday in New York.
A summary of key levels for chart-watching technical strategists is below:
Forex spot: EUR/USD USD/JPY GBP/USD USD/CHF
Spot 1135 GMT 1.2993 76.91 1.5566 0.9287
3 Day Trend Bullish Range Bullish Bearish
Weekly Trend Bearish Range Bearish Bearish
200 day ma 1.3604 78.59 1.5826 0.9032
3rd Resistance 1.3145 77.34 1.5670 0.9450
2nd Resistance 1.3077 77.27 1.5595 0.9432
1st Resistance 1.3044 77.10 1.5576 0.9393
Pivot* 1.2935 77.09 1.5535 0.9339
1st Support 1.2908 76.69 1.5495 0.9270
2nd Support 1.2854 76.55 1.5440 0.9244
3rd Support 1.2785 76.30 1.5408 0.9176
Forex spot: AUD/USD
Spot 1135 GMT 1.0559
3 Day Trend Bullish
Weekly Trend Bullish
200 day ma 1.0234
3rd Resistance 1.0754
2nd Resistance 1.0673
1st Resistance 1.0579
Pivot* 1.0452
1st Support 1.0499
2nd Support 1.0450
3rd Support 1.0439