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RTRS:FOREX-Euro at 2-mth high as Greek hopes spur short covering
 
* Euro supported by Greek deal hopes, short-covering
* Resistance seen near 100-day moving average around $1.3333
* Dollar-index at 2-mth low; Aussie hits 6-mth high

By Nia Williams
LONDON, Feb 8 (Reuters) - The euro rose to a two-month
high versus the dollar on Wednesday, as short positions were
trimmed on optimism Greek leaders are nearing a deal on measures
to secure second bailout and avoid a messy default, despite slow
progress in talks.
Following a string of delays in negotiations, Greek leaders
will meet again on Wednesday in a bid to strike a deal on
painful austerity steps in return for another international
rescue package,
Analysts said the euro could test $1.33 and push as high as
$1.35 if a deal is finalised. A sharp selloff in the single
currency was seen as unlikely even if talks drag on for another
day, given sizeable euro short positions that investors are
reluctant to add to before knowing the outcome of the
negotiations.
The euro rose to $1.3289, its highest level since
Dec. 12. Topside resistance came in at the 100-day moving
average around $1.3333, while option-related offers were
reported ahead of $1.3300.
"There has been a propensity by the market in general to
look at the Greek scenario with a glass-half-full approach,
irrespective of the deadlines Greece has missed," said Jane
Foley, senior currency analyst at Rabobank.
"I think positioning has a significant part to play.
Although shorts are off their record levels, they are still
really extreme and people do not want to get caught in a rally."
The latest positioning data showed currency speculators
trimmed euro short positions to 157,546 contracts, down from a
record 171,347 contracts the previous week.
Euro resilience was also down to the European Central Bank's
provision of low-rate long-term funds to banks that ensured
ample liquidity in the banking system and was helping to prop up
risk appetite, Foley said.
The bank holds another three-year tender at the end of
February.
Some strategists said euro upside was limited as many short
positions had already been covered on Tuesday when the euro
posted its strongest daily gain since November. It climbed from
below $1.30 to $1.3270 on talk a Greek deal was imminent.
Morgan Stanley strategists said they established a short
euro position at $1.3250 and are targeting $1.2390 with a stop
at $1.3350, given the structural problems still facing the euro
zone even if Greece gets a second bailout.
"If we see a deal being signed it's going to be euro
positive, but that's already priced in. It's going to be tricky
trying to pick the top but a rebound is going to fairly limited
and short-lived," said Morgan Stanley strategist Ian Stannard.
"The broader problems within the euro zone are going to be
even harder to tackle."

YEN RETREATS
The euro also hit a seven-week peak of 102.449
against the yen, gaining strength on reported stop-loss buying.
The yen retreated broadly on the crosses, with traders saying
the technical outlook for cross/yen pairs had improved after
their recent breach of some technical resistance levels.
Stop-loss dollar buying, coupled with dollar buying by
Japanese importers and offshore players, also helped to lift the
greenback against the yen, traders said. It rose 0.3 percent to
77.06 yen, pulling away from a three-month low of 76.027
yen hit last week.
Earlier on Wednesday, the yen showed little reaction to data
showing that Japan's current account surplus shrank sharply to a
15-year low in 2011.
Better risk appetite and hopes Greece is close to agreeing
austerity measures helped to boost commodity currencies. The
Australian dollar rose to a six-month high of $1.0845.
Broad dollar weakness pushed the greenback to 78.443 against
a basket of currencies, its lowest level in around two
months.
Source