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RTRS:FOREX-Yen hit by risk rally, euro buoyed by Greek hopes
 
* Dollar/yen nears post-intervention peak of 79.553 yen
* Aussie/yen hits 6-1/2 mth high on better risk appetite
* Euro well above 3-week lows on hopes for Greek deal

By Neal Armstrong
LONDON, Feb 17 (Reuters) - The yen hit a 3-1/2 month
low versus the dollar on Friday as hopes Greece would soon sign
a deal for a second bailout boosted appetite for risk, further
undermining the Japanese unit after additional monetary easing
in Tokyo this week.
The euro, meanwhile, held well above three-week lows against
the dollar and riskier currencies were also boosted after euro
zone officials said they were putting the finishing touches to
Greece's bailout for approval on Monday.
Confirmation of a deal would further underpin currencies
more sensitive to risk like the Australian dollar.
The yen also hit a two-month trough against the euro and a
6-1/2 month low versus the Australian dollar after the Bank of
Japan surprised markets this week by boosting its asset buying
scheme by $130 billion.
"The selloff in the yen is down to a combination of a more
buoyant mood in equities and the determination of the Japanese
authorities to weaken the currency by injecting more money into
the economy," said Michael Derks, chief strategist at FXPro.
"It would be a surprise though if we saw much more yen
weakness as we could see a flood of yen purchases in March as
Japanese year-end approaches."
The dollar rose to a high of 79.187 yen on trading
platform EBS, the highest level since Oct. 31 when Japan sold a
record 8.07 trillion yen in currency intervention after the
dollar hit a post-World War Two record low of 75.311 yen.
The dollar was up about 2 percent on the week against the
Japanese currency. Traders reported offers at 79.30/50 placed
ahead of the post-intervention high on Oct. 31 at 79.553.
The dollar, which breached its 200-day moving average
earlier this week, neared its 55-week moving average at 79.12.
Major resistance is in the 79.73 to 80.94 yen area, a range
formed by the cloud on the weekly Ichimoku chart, a popular
technical analysis tool.
The euro hit a two-month high at 104.07 yen to
trade up around 0.1 percent for the day.
Upbeat U.S. jobs and factory activity data on Thursday
continued to support the dollar against the Japanese currency,
but with the Federal Reserve committed to keeping interest rates
low, dollar gains based on higher U.S. yields were unlikely.
"The dollar/yen rate spread correlation is not moving very
much, with Fed seen on hold. We'd be reluctant to chase this
move higher and see anything through 80 yen as looking
overvalued," said Paul Robson, currency strategist at RBS.

EURO CLINGING ON
The euro clung to the previous day's gains, supported by
hopes Greece would now avoid a hard default on its debts in
March. The single currency was up slightly at $1.3151,
above Thursday's low of $1.2974.
Many in the market were sceptical over the euro's ability to
rally significantly.
Greece's bailout money will be disbursed only after a
parallel debt restructuring takes place and jitters remain due
to the tight schedule, with Greece needing to secure the funds
before March 20, when it needs to pay back debt worth 14.5
billion euros.
"I think we'll get this Greek deal and the euro will edge
higher but Greece is clearly not out of the woods and its
problems will be revisited many times in coming months," said
Robson.
"There's a lot of scepticism around euro/dollar rallying
strongly," he added.
Euro short positions are thought to have been reduced in
recent weeks as the currency recovered from 17-month lows hit in
January, helped by cheap liquidity provision from the European
Central Bank which helped ease tight funding conditions.
"Our positioning indicator has turned neutral, suggesting
that any EUR rally from this point onwards is unlikely to have
the same magnitude as the rebound seen in early January," said
Morgan Stanley in a note to clients.
"In January, the market was overwhelmingly EUR short, which
is not the case now."
The better tone for the euro underpinned riskier currencies.
The Australian dollar was up slightly on the day at
$1.0773, above a two-week low hit on Tuesday of $1.0629.
Source