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RTRS:FOREX-Euro hit by recession worries; Aussie drops
 
* Unexpectedly weak euro zone PMI data hits euro
* Weak China data pushes Aussie to 2-mth low vs USD
* Yen up after Japan reports a trade surplus

(Updates prices, adds quotes)
By Jessica Mortimer
LONDON, March 22 (Reuters) - The euro nursed losses on
Thursday and was vulnerable to a further drop after weak euro
zone data revived worries about a recession in the region w h ile
disappointing data from China dented the higher-yielding
Australian dollar.
Purchasing managers' surveys revealed unexpected declines in
euro zone manufacturing and services activity in March, hit by a
sharp fall in French and German factory activity.

That drove the euro to session lows against the
dollar and the yen. Against the dollar, the euro fell
to $1.3133, triggering stops below $1.3140. It pared some of
those losses to trade at $1.3160, still down 0.4 percent on the
day, and dealers could not rule out further potential losses
towards a recent trough around $1.3004.
Against the yen, the euro was down 0.9 percent at 109.15
yen, having dropped to a one-week low of 108.79 on trading
platform EBS, as some long-term investors stepped up selling of
the common currency after the PMI surveys. That was a far cry
from the euro's near five-month high of 111.43 yen struck on
Wednesday.
"When you get numbers like this out of the euro zone it
definitely puts the growth outlook into question and points to a
mild recession," said Niels Christensen, currency strategist at
Nordea in Copenhagen.
"There should be a widening of rate differentials in favour
of the dollar, so a lower euro/dollar will be the result."
However, the euro would need to break below $1.30 to take it
out of the $1.30-$1.35 trading range it has been in for the last
couple of months. A bigger sell-off in equities may be needed to
prompt this, Christensen said.
Analysts said the poor PMI surveys highlighted the risk of a
recession in the euro zone and peripheral debt showed fresh
signs of struggling.
"The PMI numbers have taken the wind out of the sails for
risk," said Peter Kinsella, currency strategist at Commerzbank.
"It is negative for the euro and reminds investors that despite
the recent progress on the debt front, there are challenges for
the region."
Earlier, PMI data showed factory activity in China shrank in
March for a fifth straight month, underscoring worries about
risks to global growth.
That weighed on growth-linked currencies, especially the
Australian dollar given the country's close trading
links with China. It slid nearly 1 percent versus the U.S.
dollar to hit a two-month low of $1.0356.
The Aussie has fallen nearly 3.5 percent this month amid
broader dollar strength. On Thursday, it breached major support
at the 200-day moving average of $1.0402, with more chart
support located at the base of the Ichimoku cloud - a popular
technical indicator - at $1.0354.

YEN GAINS
The higher-yielding Aussie also lost 1.3 percent against the
yen and earlier hit its lowest in nearly three months
against the euro as investors unwound carry trades,
where money is borrowed in lower-yielding currencies to fund
riskier investments elsewhere.
China is Australia's key export partner with bilateral trade
for the previous fiscal term amounting to 7.5 percent of
Australian gross domestic product.
The yen was helped after data from Japan showed the country
unexpectedly logged a trade surplus of 32.9 billion yen in
February, against a forecast 120 billion yen deficit.
The dollar was down 0.5 percent against the Japanese
currency at 82.95 yen, pulling away from a recent
11-month high of 84.187. Japanese importer bids are said to be
at 82.50-70 yen while exporter offers are cited at 83.50.
Kinsella at Commerzbank said the yen's bounce was likely to
prove temporary with the outlook for Japan and the currency
still very shaky.
The yen has fallen 8 percent versus the dollar in 2012, on
the Bank of Japan's easing steps and after the country last year
posted its first annual trade deficit in 31 years due to a surge
in fuel imports after the Fukushima nuclear accident in 2012.

Source