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RTRS:METALS-Copper up on China factory data, but caution reigns
 
* China official PMI at 11-month peak in March
* Euro zone manufacturing shrinks for eighth month
* Coming Up: U.S. ISM Manufacturing, 1400 GMT

By Maytaal Angel
LONDON, April 2 (Reuters) - Copper rose on Monday buoyed by upbeat Chinese
manufacturing data that helped calm worries over demand prospects in the world's
top copper consumer, though concerns lingered about the overall pace of growth
in China.
A stream of new orders buoyed factory activity in China to an 11-month high
in March, according to the official PMI, but credit-constrained smaller
manufacturers struggled, suggesting the economy is still losing steam.

Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange edged up 0.29
percent to $8,469.25 a tonne by 0917 GMT from $8,445, with volumes decent at
around 4,400 lots considering Shanghai markets are closed from Monday to
Wednesday for a public holiday.
"The market had already discounted that small and medium (Chinese) companies
are struggling so the news that the biggest companies are doing slightly better
than expected prompted some short covering," said Gianclaudio Torlizzi, analyst
at metals consultancy T-Commodity.
But he added: "We don't buy today's move as the beginning of a bullish phase
because we think the Chinese economy is still slowing down and at the same time
the central bank is not yet willing to cut interest rates."
Also capping gains in metals, the euro zone's manufacturing sector shrank
for an eighth month and at a faster pace in March, adding to signs the bloc is
in recession as the downturn spread to core members France and Germany.

Investor focus turns to the U.S. Institute for Supply Management
manufacturing data due later in the day, which Credit Suisse said "is likely to
confirm economic stabilization once again".
Latest U.S. data released on Friday showed U.S. consumer spending increased
by the most in seven months in February as households shook off a rise in
gasoline prices, leading economists to raise forecasts for first-quarter growth.

"The U.S. ISM data today is likely to confirm economic stabilization once
again. We think prices can stabilize and trade sideways this week," said Credit
Suisse analysts in a note.
They also pointed to falling stocks in China, where latest data showed a
drop in Shanghai copper stocks in the past two weeks from
near-decade high levels. LME stocks rose for the third time in about four
session, but remained near their lowest since July 2008.


LULLED
Up about 12 percent this year, copper's fate mostly hangs on China with
worries over the debt-strained euro zone easing and the U.S. economy picking up.
The rate of slowdown in a country that consumes around 40 percent of the world's
copper will be key to whether the industrial metal can build on or erase its
year-to-date gain.
"We should not be lulled into thinking that China has turned a corner ...
Global conditions continue to be highly uncertain, and given that China's
finished goods inventory has recovered quite steadily, room for further
inventory building may be limited," said Vishnu Varathan, market economist at
Mizuho Corporate Bank.
In other metals traded, aluminium edged up 0.05 percent to $2,127 a
tonne from $2,126, while stainless-steel ingredient nickel rose 0.86
percent to $17,978 from $17,825.
State-run Aluminium Corp of China Ltd agreed to pay
$926 million for a controlling stake in Mongolian coal miner SouthGobi Resources
in a deal with mining billionaire Robert Friedland's Ivanhoe Resources.
The deal marks the first foray into coal by Chalco, which is facing a bleak
outlook in aluminium, and will give it access to a large coal producer in
neighbouring Mongolia.
On nickel, which has risen just 1 percent in the year to date, making it the
worst performing metal in the complex to date, analysts are turning decidedly
more optimistic, saying the selling has been overdone given changing
fundamentals.
"Feedback from the recent days suggests Chinese buyers (are) rushing to
restock at what are believed to be low prices. This is reflected in rising
physical spot premiums over the last week or so," said Macquarie analysts in a
note.
"The LME nickel price is now trading below domestic prices in China, which
makes buying imports more attractive, and currently prevailing price levels are
trading below cash production costs for some nickel pig iron production in
China."
Battery material lead fell 0.49 percent to $2,030 from $2,040,
soldering metal tin rose 1.54 percent to $23,150 a tonne from $22,800,
while zinc, used in galvanizing rose 0.05 percent to $2,002 from $2,001.
Metal Prices at 0923 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in
yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2009 Ytd
Pct

move
COMEX Cu 384.50 2.00 +0.52 334.65
14.90
LME Alum 2126.00 0.00 +0.00 2230.00
-4.66
LME Cu 8444.00 -1.00 -0.01 7375.00
14.49
LME Lead 2042.00 2.00 +0.10 2432.00
-16.04
LME Nickel 17825.00 0.00 +0.00 18525.00
-3.78
LME Tin 22750.00 -50.00 -0.22 16950.00
34.22
LME Zinc 2000.00 -1.00 -0.05 2560.00
-21.88
SHFE Alu 16165.00 -5.00 -0.03 17160.00
-5.80
SHFE Cu* 60010.00 270.00 +0.45 59900.00
0.18
SHFE Zin 15445.00 105.00 +0.68 21195.00
-27.13
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07
Source