RTRS:METALS-Copper falls as dollar rises, U.S. stimulus hopes wane
* Fed less inclined to more stimulus measures
* Dollar rises, euro equities retreat
* Copper stays well above 200-moving day average
* Coming Up: U.S. ADP employment report; 1215 GMT
By Susan Thomas
LONDON, April 4 (Reuters) - Copper fell for a second day on Wednesday,
retreating from near two-month highs, as the dollar rose and disappointment over
the U.S. Federal Reserve's retreat from another round of monetary stimulus
seeped through financial markets.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 1.4 percent to
$8,491 a tonne by 0926 GMT from $8,615 at the close on Tuesday.
"It's clearly largely in response to the minutes of the FOMC meeting
yesterday which doesn't take QE (quantitative easing) off the table completely
but it's become less probable," BHP Paribas analyst Stephen Briggs said.
Overnight minutes from the Fed's March meet showed less support for more
easing, or bond-buying, in the face of improved economic data, which lifted the
dollar and hit stocks in the United States, Asia and Europe.
A stronger dollar makes dollar-priced commodities like copper more
expensive for holders of other currencies.
But Briggs said the copper price remained solid.
The metal, used in construction and seen as an economic bellwether, is up
more than 11 percent so far this year and remains well above the 200-day moving
average of $8,318.
Copper was also underpinned by the central bank of Chile, the world's
largest copper producer, raising its forecast for this year's copper export
price to $3.70 per pound from the $3.50 forecast in December.
There was more evidence of a gradually recovering U.S. economy on Tuesday as
data showed new orders for U.S. factory goods bounced back 1.3 percent in
February, although a little off market expectations.
Analysts expect the momentum to be sustained, seeing a fourth month of solid
job growth in the United States in March when the nonfarm payrolls data is
released on Friday.
LME trading volumes were thin in a holiday shortened week. Chinese markets
stayed shut for a public holiday, and markets in many Western countries will be
shut on Friday for the Easter weekend.
WILL THEY, WON'T THEY?
Three-month nickel, a big gainer on Tuesday on the back of renewed
Indonesian export tax concerns, was the biggest loser on Wednesday, falling 2.9
percent to $17,912 from $18,450 at the close on Tuesday.
"The "will they, won't they" conundrum of an Indonesian export tax on
unprocessed minerals reared its head again on Tuesday, having been put on hold
last week," Macquarie said in a research note.
"The situation is undoubtedly confusing, and we consider the imposition of
the tax a low to moderate possibility, but undoubtedly the market risk is
rising."
An Indonesian industry ministry official said on Tuesday the country plans
to impose a 25 percent export tax on coal and base metals this year, jumping to
50 percent in 2013, as it looks to boost domestic investment and take a bigger
slice of mining profits.
Tin was down 1.4 percent at $22,700 from $23,025 at the close on
Tuesday, zinc was down 1.2 percent at $1,995.75 f rom $2,020.
Lead was down 2.2 percent at $2,024 from $2,070 and
aluminium was off 0.8 percent at $2,108 from $2,125.
Metal Prices at 0926 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in
yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2011 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 385.65 -6.25 -1.59 344.75 11.86
LME Alum 2107.50 -17.50 -0.82 2020.00 4.33
LME Cu 8490.00 -125.00 -1.45 7600.00 11.71
LME Lead 2026.00 -44.00 -2.13 2034.00 -0.39
LME Nickel 17932.00 -293.00 -1.61 18650.00 -3.85
LME Tin 22620.00 -405.00 -1.76 19200.00 17.81
LME Zinc 1995.25 -24.75 -1.23 1845.00 8.14
SHFE Alu 16165.00 -5.00 -0.03 15845.00 2.02
SHFE Cu* 60010.00 270.00 +0.45 55360.00 8.40
SHFE Zin 15445.00 105.00 +0.68 14795.00 4.39
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07