Home

 
India Bullion iPhone Application
  Quick Links
Currency Futures Trading

MCX Strategy

Precious Metals Trading

IBCRR

Forex Brokers

Technicals

Precious Metals Trading

Economic Data

Commodity Futures Trading

Fixes

Live Forex Charts

Charts

World Gold Prices

Reports

Forex COMEX India

Contact Us

Chat

Bullion Trading Bullion Converter
 

$ Price :

 
 

Rupee :

 
 

Price in RS :

 
 
Specification
  More Links
Forex NCDEX India

Contracts

Live Gold Prices

Price Quotes

Gold Bullion Trading

Research

Forex MCX India

Partnerships

Gold Commodities

Holidays

Forex Currency Trading

Libor

Indian Currency

Advertisement

 
RTRS:OPEC to keep oil limits on hold
 
* OPEC to keep 30 mbpd output target for H2 2012

* Some fear price collapse if Saudi doesn't cut back

* Meeting may be lengthy to discuss new secretary general

By Amena Bakr and Peg Mackey

VIENNA, June 14 (Reuters) - OPEC prepared to keep oil output limits on hold on Thursday, leaving swing producer Saudi Arabia to unilaterally decide whether it needs to scale back supplies to stem a price slide.

Most in the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries want lead producer Saudi to cut back to defend oil prices at $100 a barrel but Riyadh is keen to prevent high fuel costs hampering a return to stronger economic growth in the West.

Extra oil from Saudi is largely responsible for lifting OPEC output to 31.6 million bpd, well in advance of the group's formal 30-million-bpd target.

"In my opinion we should be keeping to the ceiling, the ceiling we agreed in December," said Angolan Oil Minister Jose de Vasconcelos.

That would happen "in all probability," said Kuwaiti Oil Minister Hani Hussein.

Iran, often at odds with Saudi Arabia at OPEC, appears in no mood to squabble at this meeting, despite a fall in oil prices that is hitting its revenues at the same time its exports fall because of Western sanctions against its nuclear programme.

A meeting between Saudi Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi and his Iranian counterpart Rostam Qasemi passed amiably, delegates from the two countries said.

Oil prices have dropped from a $128 peak for the year in March to $97, in part because the economic outlook has darkened but also because of increased Saudi output that in April set a 30-year high of 10.1 million barrels a day.

That has lifted world oil inventories rapidly, a deliberate move by Riyadh to counter the possibility that Iranian oil output falls heavily when a European Union embargo on Tehran starts next month. Iranian production is already down to a 20-year low.

Naimi has called the extra Saudi volumes and consequent oil price decline "a kind of stimulus" for the world economy. His advisors say Riyadh is engaged in a balancing act to raise stocks to cover for Iranian losses while taking into account the prospect that the fragile world economy will slow oil demand.

Even Saudi Arabia's closest Gulf Arab allies are showing signs of discomfort at the decline in prices.

"A little bit much," said UAE Oil Minister Mohammed al-Hamli's of supplies.

Analysts say risks are growing that prices could fall further if Saudi doesn't cut back.

"There is a surplus in the market. Most of the surplus has gone into storage, both fixed and floating, so the market in a way hasn't felt that yet," said former Algerian Oil Minister Chakib Khelil, now a consultant.

"This idea of trying to anticipate the shortfalls from Iran could backfire. If demand weakens because of the economic situation then you have a weak global economy and oversupply in the market."

Oil prices though are anything but predictable, largely because, on top of opaque supply and demand fundamentals, markets have to take into account the politics of producer countries.

Iran is the main uncertainty for oil prices - the impact of sanctions on its oil sales, negotiations with world powers over its nuclear progamme that resume in Moscow shortly and the possibility that Israel might launch an attack on its nuclear facilities.

"History tells us that a global financial collapse could see oil prices fall to $50 a barrel and below whilst an attack on Iran take them to $150 and above," said David Hufton of London oil brokers PVM.

Delegates said that while the decision on production looked straightforward, no easy agreement was expected over the appointment of OPEC's next secretary general.

Four countries have proposed candidates - Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq and Ecuador. (additional reporting Alex Lawler, Andrew Callus, Dan Fineren, editing Richard Mably, William Hardy)
Source