Home

 
India Bullion iPhone Application
  Quick Links
Currency Futures Trading

MCX Strategy

Precious Metals Trading

IBCRR

Forex Brokers

Technicals

Precious Metals Trading

Economic Data

Commodity Futures Trading

Fixes

Live Forex Charts

Charts

World Gold Prices

Reports

Forex COMEX India

Contact Us

Chat

Bullion Trading Bullion Converter
 

$ Price :

 
 

Rupee :

 
 

Price in RS :

 
 
Specification
  More Links
Forex NCDEX India

Contracts

Live Gold Prices

Price Quotes

Gold Bullion Trading

Research

Forex MCX India

Partnerships

Gold Commodities

Holidays

Forex Currency Trading

Libor

Indian Currency

Advertisement

 
RTRS: UPDATE 1-US gas futures pare gains after more than 4-wk high
 
* Front month hits highest mark since late May
* Hotter weather still on tap in six to 10-day outlooks
* Recent storage builds falling well below average
* Coming Up: EIA oil data Wed., EIA gas data Thurs.

(Adds cash prices, updates throughout)
By Eileen Houlihan
NEW YORK, June 20 (Reuters) - U.S. natural gas futures pared
early gains on Wednesday, but remained up about 2 percent, as
hot weather in consuming regions boosted air conditioning demand
and coal to gas switching was likely to lead to another light
weekly inventory build this week.
A recent stir in tropical activity, the building heat and
recent trend in storage builds falling below average for the
past eight out of nine weeks, has kept traders cautious, despite
some profit taking on Tuesday.
Front-month July natural gas futures on the New York
Mercantile Exchange were at $2.591 per million British
thermal units in early trading, up 4.6 cents, or nearly 2
percent.
The contract rose as high as $2.679 in electronic trade, the
highest mark for a front month contract since the 3-1/2-month
high of $2.759 in mid-May. But that jump was said to remove gas
from favor over coal for power generation.
Since posting a 10-year low of $1.902 twice in late April,
nearby futures are up about 38 percent on signs that record
production was finally slowing and demand picking up as more
electric utilities switched from coal to gas.
In the cash market, gas bound for the NYMEX delivery point
Henry Hub NG-W-HH in Louisiana was heard early at $2.61 on
active volume near 794 million cubic feet, up 2 cents from
Tuesday's average of $2.59.
Early Hub cash deals also firmed to about 1 cent over the
front month contract, from deals done late Tuesday at a 1-cent
discount.
Gas on the Transco pipeline at the New York citygate
NG-NYCZ6 was heard early near $4.14 on volume near 524 mmcf,
up 69 cents from Tuesday's average of $3.45 on another day of
expected hot weather.

LIGHT BUILDS BUT STORAGE STILL AT RECORD
Last week's gas storage report from the U.S. Energy
Information Administration showed total domestic gas inventories
rose by 67 billion cubic feet to 2.944 trillion cubic feet.

Lagging stock builds this spring matched or fell below
seasonal norms in eight out of the past nine weeks, raising
expectations that record-high storage can be trimmed to more
manageable levels in the 22 weeks left before winter withdrawals
begin.
The trend is likely to continue this week, with early
injection estimates for this week's report ranging from 60 bcf
to 70 bcf versus last year's adjusted build of 90 bcf and a
five-year average increase for that week of 87 bcf.
But stocks are still 32 percent above the same week in 2011
and 29 percent above the five-year average.
(Storage graphic: link.reuters.com/mup44s)
Concerns remain that the storage glut will drive prices
lower this summer as storage caverns fill. Inventories stand at
72 percent full, with producing-region stocks at 82 percent of
capacity.
The storage surplus to last year will have to be cut by at
least another 460 bcf to avoid breaching the government's
4.1-tcf estimate of capacity. Stocks peaked last year in
November at a record high of 3.852 tcf.
The EIA last week said it expected gas storage to climb to a
record 4.015 tcf by the end of October.

PRODUCTION GROWTH SLOWING, STILL RECORD OUTPUT
The EIA last week also trimmed its estimates for domestic
natural gas production and consumption growth in 2012.
Gas demand picked up sharply this year as spring prices hit
10-year lows, prompting some electric utilities to switch from
coal to cheaper gas for power generation.
EIA expects 2012 marketed gas production to average a record
high 68.47 bcf per day, up 3.4 percent from last year. But
demand in 2012, driven by strong gains in the electric power
sector, was expected to rise 4.1 percent.
Baker Hughes data on Friday showed the gas-directed rig
count fell to 562, its seventh drop in eight weeks and the
lowest level in nearly 13 years.
(Graphic: r.reuters.com/dyb62s)
The 40 percent drop in dry gas drilling in the last eight
months has raised expectations that producers were finally
getting serious about slowing record supplies.
The shift away from dry gas to higher-value shale oil and
shale gas liquid plays still produces plenty of associated gas
that ends up in the market after processing. That has slowed the
overall drop in dry gas output.
Traders noted recent declines in dry gas drilling and
planned output cuts by several producers seemed to be taking a
modest toll on gas production, but analysts say cuts so far of
about 1 bcf per day were not enough to significantly reduce
supplies.

MORE FUNDAMENTALS
The National Weather Service's six to 10-day outlook issued
on Tuesday again called for above-normal readings for most of
the nation, with below-normal readings along the West Coast and
in much of the Northeast.
Nuclear power plant outages were running at about 10,000
megawatts, or 10 percent, on Wednesday, up from 9,200 MW out a
year ago and a five-year outage rate of just 6,300 MW.

The U.S. National Hurricane Center was monitoring a
low-pressure system over the northwestern Caribbean Sea with a
20 percent chance of further development over the next 48 hours.
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30.


(Reporting by Eileen Houlihan; editing by Sofina Mirza-Reid)
Source