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BD: Oil hits 18-month low on weak data, technicals
 
China factory output contracts for eighth month, while weak US jobs, manufacturing data add to gloom


LONDON — Brent crude oil dropped nearly 2% to hit an 18-month low of $91 per barrel on Thursday as weak economic data from China and the US darkened the global growth outlook and pointed to lower oil demand prospects.

A technical breakdown in crude futures prices on both sides of the Atlantic also spurred further selling, with no bottom yet in sight, according to analysts.

China’s factory sector shrank for an eighth straight month in June as export order sentiment hit its weakest since early 2009, according to a survey indicating the country’s economic trough may extend well into the third quarter.

US jobs data added to the gloom with news that the number of Americans filing new jobless claims was little changed last week, suggesting the labour market was struggling to regain momentum.

Data also showed that US manufacturing grew in June at its slowest pace in 11 months, with hiring in the sector hobbled by overseas demand for US products weakening, compounding the dreary economic outlook in the world’s largest oil consumer.

"We had follow through selling early and that clearly was due to the disappointment over the Fed’s action yesterday that investors felt was not enough to help boost the economy," said Gene McGillian, analyst at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut.

"This market is still looking for a bottom," he added.

In London, Brent crude oil futures for August delivery was down $1,08 at $91,61 a barrel by 2.50pm GMT. It slipped earlier to a low of $91, down $1,69, the weakest since December 2010.

US August crude was down $1,21 at $80,24 a barrel, after earlier hitting an eight-month low of $79,82.

Brent is likely to drop further to $90,05 and any rebound could be limited to a resistance at $93,66, said Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

For US crude, the next downside target is nearby at $79,49, with a break below that level likely to trigger a further loss to $78,65, he said.

Oil futures dropped by more than 3% on Wednesday after the US Federal Reserve signalled a weaker outlook and delivered another round of monetary stimulus, but some investors had hoped for more aggressive steps to boost the world’s top economy.

Wednesday’s sell-off was also spurred by a surprise increase in US crude inventories in the week to June 15.
Source