RTRS:Ugandan shilling firms vs dollar as greenback demand wanes
KAMPALA, July 26 (Reuters) - The Ugandan shilling
strengthened against the dollar on Thursday, after two straight
days of weakening against the greenback, due to slowing demand
for the U.S. currency.
At 0924 GMT commercial banks quoted the shilling at
2,465/2,475, stronger than Wednesday's close of 2,475/2,485.
"The pick up in dollar demand that we've seen over the last
two days has come off and driven the shilling up again," said
Faisal Bukenya, head of market making at Barclays Bank.
The currency of east Africa's third-largest economy has been
oscillating in the 2,460-2,500 range for about three months but
analysts say the ongoing cycle of monetary policy easing is
likely to put it on the ropes over the next several months.
Bank of Uganda has so far cut its benchmark central bank
rate for two straight months - it now stands at 19 percent - and
signalled it is prepared for further policy loosening to
stimulate slowing economic growth.
A pick-up in economic activity would potentially spur an
upsurge in greenback demand and weaken the local currency for
the import-dependent economy.
"We'll continue to witness a rangebound shilling (against
the dollar) until demand for the dollar is able to recover
sustain ably," said a trader at a leading commercial bank.
"And for that to happen it will need several months of
continuous easing."
Bank of Uganda is due to announce its key lending rate for
August next week after the release of the latest inflation data.
Analysts expect low food prices are likely to cool
inflationary pressures again and give the central bank room
further policy easing.
Some market players also say typical end of month dollar
conversions by charities looking to pay shilling-denominated
salaries might lend the local currency some slight support.