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RTRS: FOREX-Euro edges higher versus dollar ahead of ECB
 
* Nervous investors await ECB action after Draghi comments
* Australian dollar hits record high vs euro
* Focus on this week's ECB and Fed meetings

By Wanfeng Zhou
NEW YORK, July 31 (Reuters) - The euro edged higher against
the dollar and yen on Tuesday on expectations the European
Central Bank may take further actions to help contain the debt
crisis later this week.
Speculation grew the ECB could revive its bond purchase
program to help lower the borrowing costs of debt-stricken Spain
and Italy after ECB President Mario Draghi said last week the
bank would do whatever it takes to save the euro. But analysts
cautioned the bank may disappoint.
"It's going to be more or less buy the rumor, sell the
fact," said Michael Woolfolk, senior currency strategist at BNY
Mellon in New York. "So expect the euro to be well supported up
to just before the decision and then probably some profit-taking
thereafter."
The euro rose as high as $1.2318 on Reuters data,
still below a three-week high of $1.2389 set last week. It was
last at $1.2283, up 0.2 percent. It also rose 0.4 percent to
96.16 yen.
Month-end demand also supported the euro as traders reported
sovereign buying in the euro/sterling and euro/Swiss franc
currency pairs. Traders cited strong offers above $1.2300 while
bids were layered below $1.2250 and stop losses at $1.2220.
Many analysts questioned how much the ECB can deliver, given
euro zone paymaster Germany is opposed to the central bank
buying government bonds in the secondary market and granting a
banking license to the bloc's rescue fund.
"There is a clear danger that expectations might be too high
... He's got to put his money where his mouth is, as there is a
risk of disappointment around Thursday," said Nick Parsons, head
of markets strategy at nabCapital in London.
If the ECB does not signal further measures, the euro could
fall back below $1.2130, but a firm response could lift it above
last week's peak, he said.
"After that you'd really be looking at $1.2693, the high on
the last trading day of June, but we'd really need to see
monetary shock and awe to take to us to those sorts of levels,"
Parsons added.
Investors also awaited a policy announcement from the
Federal Reserve at the end of its two-day meeting on Wednesday.
While the Fed is likely to hold off from adopting another
bond-buying program for now, some analysts say it might adopt
such monetary stimulus in coming months.
The dollar edged up 0.1 percent to 78.21 yen.

AUSSIE GAINS
The euro hit a record low against the higher-yielding
Australian dollar of A$1.1638. Expectations that the
ECB may lower interest rates again in the coming months have
made the euro a favorite funding currency for investors seeking
higher yields.
The Australian dollar also hit a four-month high against the
U.S. dollar at $1.0538, buoyed by comments from Chinese
premier Wen Jiabao that China would fine-tune policy to support
economic growth.
Analysts said long-term investors like central banks have
also increased holdings of high-yielding currencies, especially
at the expense of the euro.
Data from the Swiss National Bank showed an increase in euro
holdings in the bank's foreign-exchange reserves in the second
quarter as it has been defending the 1.20 franc per euro peg
since last September by buying the common currency.
That led to speculation that the SNB may soon be selling
euros in favor of other growth-linked currencies such as the
Australian dollar.
"With an estimated 184 billion euros still on its balance
sheet, continued future offloading of euros could have a
meaningful impact on euro crosses," said Geoffrey Kendrick,
currency analyst at Nomura.
Data on Tuesday showed U.S. single-family home prices rose
for the fourth month in a row in May, while spending by American
consumers fell in June for the first time in nearly a year when
accounting for inflation. But the market impact was limited as
investors focused on the Fed and ECB meetings this week.
Source