RTRS:METALS-Copper drops on economy fears; central bank action eyed
* Investors look to Jackson Hole gathering later this week
* Traders report lift in Chinese spot copper demand
* Coming up: US S&P/Case-Shiller home price index; 1300 GMT
By Harpreet Bhal
LONDON, Aug 28 (Reuters) - Copper fell on Tuesday, hit by
uncertainty about the outlook for economic growth, with
investors reluctant to take on long positions as they awaited a
meeting of central bankers later this week for clues on possible
further stimulus measures.
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange
slipped to $7,614.50 a tonne at 0923 GMT, down 0.3 percent from
Friday's close of $7,640 a tonne.
The cautious mood was fuelled by festering fears over a
slowdown in the global economy after recent weak data, including
a sharp profit drop for China's industrial sector in July.
Helping keep falls in check, however, was a stronger euro
against the dollar. A weak dollar makes commodities priced in
the U.S. unit cheaper for holders of other currencies.
Investors were awaiting a gathering of central bankers and
economists in Jackson Hole, Wyoming on Friday for clarity on
what the Federal Reserve might do to stimulate the U.S. economy.
"Investors are likely to stay on the sidelines ahead of the
meeting in Jackson Hole," said VTB analyst Andrey Kryuchenkov.
"Bernanke will probably reiterate that the Fed will keep
interest rates low until 2014 and remain accommodative but I
don't think we can expect more quantitative easing so markets
could be disappointed."
Most major risk asset markets have enjoyed broad-based gains
over the past month, spurred on by hopes for a third round of
monetary easing by the Fed and expectations the European Central
Bank will soon take action to cut high borrowing costs hurting
Spain and Italy.
"The focus is now on Jackson Hole, but with U.S. data of
late not looking too bad the Fed may well want to keep its
powder dry," FastMarkets said in a note.
"If no QE is announced then there is room for
disappointment. As such, we would expect trading this week to be
nervous and choppy."
Trading volumes were light due to summer holidays in the
northern hemisphere, when many plants shut for annual
maintenance.
The metal used in power and construction is on track to eke
out a small gain of 0.6 percent for the month of August.
CHINA DEMAND
Traders reported a lift in Chinese spot copper demand as
speculators snapped up copper on news that smelters were buying
domestic copper to cover their supply contracts and planning to
export more copper to take advantage of a new tax incentive.
"Smelters and speculators have been buying up spot copper in
China, slightly tightening supply here, which has in turn
resulted in more bonded warehouse drawdowns," said a
Shanghai-based physical trader.
"Despite the flurry of trading lately, downstream copper
demand is still weak. LME copper physical premiums in Shanghai
have stayed at around $70-80 per tonne for the past few months,
with some willing to go as low as $50-60."
LME zinc snapped four sessions of gains to drop to
$1,865 from Friday's close of $1,879 a tonne.
"We heard that hedge funds which bought LME zinc on Friday
liquidated their positions today," a trader said
A Singapore-based trader agreed that LME zinc had dropped
due to a large speculative move, saying that its fundamentals
were unchanged.
"In fact, zinc ingots supply is tight in Asia with a lot of
metal in the region locked up in financing deals," he said.
In other metals, benchmark tin slipped to $20,820
from Friday's close of $20,900 a tonne, while nickel
fell to $16,334 from a close of $16,475.
Lead dropped to $1,960 from $1,971 and aluminium
fell to $1,907 from a close of $1,919 on Friday.
Metal Prices at 0925 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2011 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 346.50 -1.15 -0.33 344.75 0.51
LME Alum 1907.25 -11.75 -0.61 2020.00 -5.58
LME Cu 7615.75 -24.25 -0.32 7600.00 0.21
LME Lead 1960.75 -10.25 -0.52 2034.00 -3.60
LME Nickel 16338.00 -137.00 -0.83 18650.00 -12.40
LME Tin 20820.00 -80.00 -0.38 19200.00 8.44
LME Zinc 1864.75 -14.25 -0.76 1845.00 1.07
SHFE Alu 15400.00 20.00 +0.13 15845.00 -2.81
SHFE Cu* 55570.00 -330.00 -0.59 55360.00 0.38
SHFE Zin 14720.00 -50.00 -0.34 14795.00 -0.51
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN