RTRS:METALS-Copper slips on weak economy, China stimulus hopes cap falls
* IMF says global slowdown deepens
* More fine-tuning policies expected in China - analysts
* Rio Tinto cuts growth forecast for China
By Harpreet Bhal
LONDON, Oct 9 (Reuters) - Copper prices edged lower on
Tuesday, as a weak global economy weighed on the demand outlook
for industrial metals, but further falls were kept in check by
expectations top consumer China will embark on pro-growth
policies to stimulate its economy.
Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange
slipped to $8,173 a tonne at 0916 GMT, down 0.1 percent from a
last bid of $8,180 on Monday, but prices rebounded from a
one-week low of $8,128 hit in the previous session.
Reinforcing concerns about growth, the IMF said late on
Monday the global economic slowdown is worsening as it cut its
growth forecasts for the second time since April and warned U.S.
and European policymakers that failure to fix their economic
ills would prolong the slump.
The warning pushed European shares lower and the euro fell
against the dollar on debt concerns, putting pressure on metals
priced in the U.S. unit.
"We have an overall risk aversion in markets and a stronger
U.S. dollar is also dragging on metals prices," said Eugen
Weinberg, head of commodity research at Commerzbank.
"Sentiment and prices are still very downbeat and I wouldn't
be surprised if prices rally towards the end of the year on
better liquidity and improving economic sentiment."
Copper prices have rallied more than 8 percent since the
start of September, fueled by the third round of quantitative
easing (QE) by the U.S. Federal Reserve, the promise of bond
buying by the European Central Bank (ECB) and stimulus measures
in Japan and China.
Further falls were prevented by expectations China would
roll out additional stimulus measures to bolster the economy and
spur demand for the metal used in power and construction.
"Losses in base metal prices will be capped despite weak
fundamentals and global economic worries, as investors expect
Beijing to do the necessary fine-tuning to stabilise the economy
before the 18th Communist Party Congress," said CIFCO Futures
analyst Zhou Jie, referring to China's leadership transition
event scheduled on Nov. 8.
CHINA DATA EYED
In China, which consumes 40 percent of global refined
copper, traders returned to the market this week from a
week-long national holiday to find few signs of demand
improving.
"China's copper demand appeared sluggish after traders
returned to the market, with spot prices trading at a discount
of 150 Yuan/t to SHFE front-month futures," ANZ analysts said in
a note.
Investors will eye China's third-quarter growth data at the
end of next week, which analysts expect to show the weakest
three months of the year. China is also expected to announce
export-import data for September on Saturday.
In industry news, global miner Rio Tinto cut its
growth forecast for China and said it was stepping up efforts to
cut costs.
It also expects copper production across the group to
increase from 2013, thanks to improving grades at existing mines
and the start of production at Oyu Tolgoi, forecasting a
cumulative annual growth rate of 13 percent from 2011 to 2015.
Concerns about the lingering debt crisis in the euro zone
also kept metals prices soft. Greece will miss the five-year
debt reduction target that underpins the country's 130 billion
euro bailout, according to forecasts released by one of its main
lenders on Tuesday.
Three-month aluminium slipped to $2,068.25 a tonne
from a close of $2,082.50 on Monday, and battery metal lead
edged down to $2,256 from $2,260 at the close on Monday.
Tin fell to $22,040 from $22,100 and zinc
was at $2,032.50 from $2,035. Stainless steel material nickel
was at $18,089 from a last bid of $18,070 on Monday.
Metal Prices at 0924 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2011 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 371.70 -0.20 -0.05 344.75 7.82
LME Alum 2066.25 -16.25 -0.78 2020.00 2.29
LME Cu 8174.25 -120.75 -1.46 7600.00 7.56
LME Lead 2255.75 -4.25 -0.19 2034.00 10.90
LME Nickel 18062.00 -238.00 -1.30 18650.00 -3.15
LME Tin 22020.00 -80.00 -0.36 19200.00 14.69
LME Zinc 2029.75 -5.25 -0.26 1845.00 10.01
SHFE Alu 15605.00 -45.00 -0.29 15845.00 -1.51
SHFE Cu* 59280.00 290.00 +0.49 55360.00 7.08
SHFE Zin 15500.00 40.00 +0.26 14795.00 4.77
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07