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RTRS:VEGOILS-Palm oil gains on slower stockbuild, firm demand
 
* Malaysia palm stocks grow just 1.1 pct in Oct, lower than
expected
* Nov. 1-10 palm exports up 22 pct from a month ago -SGS
* Palm oil to keep rebounding to 2,447 ringgit -technicals

(Updates prices, adds details)
By Chew Yee Kiat
SINGAPORE, Nov 14 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures
rose on Wednesday, supported by a slowdown in inventory build-up
in the world's second largest producer and a demand recovery for
the edible oil.
Malaysia's October palm oil stocks inched up 1.1 percent to
a record 2.51 million tonnes, but the rise fell short of market
expectations of a 7.5 percent rise in stocks to 2.67 million
tonnes.
Cargo surveyor data pointed to a demand recovery as palm
oil's steep $300 discount to soybean oil has encouraged some
buyers to shift to the cheaper edible oil, with Nov. 1-10
exports rising as much as 22 percent from a month ago.

"We expect the lower crude palm oil price and the
substantial discount to soybean oil price would stimulate export
demand in the months ahead," James Ratnam, an analyst with
Malaysia's TA Securities, said in a research note.
"But historically, it would take 3 to 6 months for low
prices to incentivise stocks drawdown, and hence, we expect any
inventory normalisation and therefore firmer prices will only
materialise in the first quarter next year at the earliest."
By the midday break, the benchmark January contract
on the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange had edged up 1.5
percent to 2,359 ringgit ($771) per tonne. Prices fell to a
3-year low at 2,220 ringgit on Monday, but rebounded strongly
after the release of the October stocks data.
Total traded volumes were thin at 9,395 lots of 25 tonnes
each ahead of the Islamic New Year holiday in Malaysia on
Thursday.
Palm oil is expected to keep rebounding to 2,447 ringgit per
tonne, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao based on a wave
cycle analysis.
In a bearish sign for palm oil, Brent crude slipped below
$108 a barrel on Wednesday, declining for a third day, after the
International Energy Agency further cut its demand outlook for
the fourth quarter and 2013 amid a rebound in oil exports from
sanctions-hit Iran.
In other vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for December
delivery was up 0.9 percent in early Asian trade. The
most active May 2013 soybean oil contract on the Dalian
Commodity Exchange edged 0.1 percent lower.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0540 GMT

Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL NOV2 2150 -78.00 2150 2270 4
MY PALM OIL DEC2 2312 +19.00 2296 2321 270
MY PALM OIL JAN3 2359 +35.00 2326 2363 5359
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY3 6728 +76.00 6630 6744 468092
CHINA SOYOIL MAY3 8400 -10.00 8322 8440 688998
CBOT SOY OIL DEC2 47.46 +0.44 47.03 47.57 4397
NYMEX CRUDE DEC2 85.43 +0.05 85.14 85.47 9086

Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel

Source