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RTRS: Sterling steadies vs dollar but pinned to recent lows
 
(Reuters) - Sterling was steady against the dollar on Friday, holding within sight of a two-month low and looking vulnerable to losses on speculation about more monetary easing by the Bank of England.

The pound was flat at $1.5855, having hit a two-month low of $1.5828 on Thursday when a sharp slide in October retail sales stoked pessimism about the UK economy.

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Sterling has been under pressure for much of the week after Governor Mervyn King flagged his unease about the high exchange rate when unveiling a gloomy Bank inflation report on Wednesday.

"The market is getting nervous now of complaints about sterling's strength from the Bank of England," said John Hardy, currency strategist at Saxo Bank, adding that would weigh on the pound.

Hardy said he expected the Bank to restart its asset purchase programme to help stimulate growth, although such a move may not happen in the near term.

Some analysts expect monetary policymakers may hold fire in coming months after the inflation forecast was revised higher. But UK growth looked likely to be weak, with the economy expected to expand only slightly more than 1 percent next year.

Trade-weighted sterling rose to 83.6, having hit a three-week low of 83.4 on Thursday. It is up 3.3 percent this year, despite the UK being in recession in the first half of the year. That is mainly because of sterling's strength against the wobbly euro.

EURO ZONE CONCERNS

The euro fell 0.3 percent against the pound to 80.26 pence, pulling back from the previous day's two-week high of 80.65 pence. Market players cited demand for sterling from a UK bank.

Saxo's Hardy said the euro could target its November 8 low of 79.605 pence, given concerns about the euro zone sliding into recession and uncertainty about financial aid to Greece.

A row over how to make Greece's debts sustainable is holding up payment of its next aid tranche, a factor that is likely to weigh on the euro in the near term, analysts say.

"We have seen some euro strength this week but it is definitely as fragile as last week, and the data indicating a euro zone recession has definitely opened up the downside for the euro," said Nawaz Ali, UK Market analyst at Western Union Business Solutions.

He added that the euro's short-term outlook would be focused on negotiations for a bailout deal for Greece.

"We would expect sterling to recover and eur/sterling to head back towards 80 pence," he said.

Other analysts said sterling's gains could be limited against the dollar given the UK's weak economic outlook.

"The public and household sectors continue to deleverage, and productivity remains low - making the UK a less-than-favourable destination for investment. This does not bode well for sterling," said Morgan Stanley strategists in a note.

(Editing by Hugh Lawson)
Source