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RTRS: Copper falls after Fed announcement; fiscal worries drag
 
* Barclays suggests shorting base metals if rally continues
* Copper, aluminium fundamentals weak
* Coming Up: U.S. weekly jobless claims ; 1330 GMT


By Silvia Antonioli and Stephen Eisenhammer
LONDON, Dec 13 (Reuters) - Copper fell on Thursday as an impasse in U.S.
budget talks showed little sign of being resolved and a Federal Reserve decision
to tie its monetary policy to unemployment raised concerns that its economic
stimulus might be limited.
Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange fell 1.2 percent to
$8,030 a tonne in official trading from a last bid of $8,130 at the close on
Wednesday.
Sharp differences remained between congressional Republicans and the White
House in negotiations to avoid the "fiscal cliff" of steep tax hikes and budget
cuts. A failure to strike a deal could send the world's largest
economy back into recession, with negative implications for metals demand.
Some investors were also worried by the Fed's decision to link its monetary
stimulus to unemployment and inflation numbers, which could limit the length of
its intervention.
The Fed said it planned to buy $45 billion in longer-term Treasuries each
month on top of its $40 billion monthly purchase of mortgage-backed securities
as expected, but set unemployment and inflation thresholds for its exit
strategy.
"The Fed has given some conditions, and this has scared the market a bit.
But in my opinion, the losses in metals have more to do with uncertainty on the
fiscal front than with disappointment on monetary easing," T-commodity
consultant Gianclaudio Torlizzi said.
"After the gains in metal recently, some investors are also closing their
positions and taking profit, worried that if a fiscal agreement is not found,
higher taxes could hit capital gains, too."
Copper prices have risen more than 7 percent in the past month, and the
metal is now up by more than 6 percent on the year.
Prospects for the euro zone got a boost as the European Union reached a
landmark deal to make the European Central Bank the bloc's top banking
supervisor.
The deal is a crucial step towards a European banking union. German
Chancellor Angela Merkel said, "The importance of the deal cannot be assessed
too highly."
In industry news, Aurubis, Europe's biggest copper smelter, posted
earnings before taxes (EBT) of 516 million euros ($672.9 million) in its full
2011/12 fiscal year ended Sept. 30, up from 497 million the previous year.


WEAK FUNDAMENTALS
Barclays suggested shorting base metals should the rally seen in the last
month continue, given that fundamentals remain weak especially for aluminium and
copper.
"Aluminium fundamentals are the weakest for any base metal at present, but
price volatility tends to be quite low. Instead, we recommend shorting copper if
cash prices rise much above $8,500," it said in a research note.
"A large stock overhang in China means its import demand will likely be
sharply down on year-ago levels, and following the recent abolition of export
taxes on tolled copper, there could be a steady stream of exports early next
year, which could turn market sentiment very negative."
Aluminium was down 0.7 percent, trading at $2,123 in official rings
compared with $2,138 at Wednesday's close.
Battery material lead was at $2,292.50 from $2,322, a drop of 1.3
percent.
Zinc, used to galvanise steel was down 1.7 percent at $2,060.50 from
$2,095, while tin was bid at $22,850, down 1.2 percent from a last bid
of $23,135.
Stainless steel material nickel fell 1.1 percent to $17,500
from $17,700.
Metal Prices at 0113 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2011 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 364.50 -6.15 -1.66 344.75 5.73
LME Alum 2120.25 -17.75 -0.83 2020.00 4.96
LME Cu 8020.75 -82.25 -1.02 7600.00 5.54
LME Lead 2285.50 -36.50 -1.57 2034.00 12.36
LME Nickel 17481.00 -219.00 -1.24 18650.00 -6.27
LME Tin 22825.00 -145.00 -0.63 19200.00 18.88
LME Zinc 2061.00 -34.00 -1.62 1845.00 11.71
SHFE Alu 15320.00 35.00 +0.23 15845.00 -3.31
SHFE Cu* 57570.00 -330.00 -0.57 55360.00 3.99
SHFE Zin 15355.00 -90.00 -0.58 14795.00 3.79
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07
Source