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RTRS:VEGOILS-Palm dips in rangebound trade, weak exports hurt
 
* Prices may recover to 2,750 ringgit in 2013 -analysts
* Palm oil may retrace to 2,285 ringgit -technicals
* Malaysia sets Jan crude palm export tax at zero pct

(Updates prices)
By Chew Yee Kiat
SINGAPORE, Dec 18 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures
edged lower in rangebound trading on Tuesday, hurt by a slowdown
in exports at a time when inventory levels remain at record
highs.
Cargo surveyors reported a slight drop in Malaysian palm oil
exports for Dec. 1-15 from a month ago, leaving traders to hope
for slowing production to bring down stock levels that hit 2.56
million tonnes in November.
Palm oil futures have shed more than a quarter of their
value since the start of the year, set for their biggest annual
drop since 2008, although analysts say prices should recover in
2013 as stocks begin to ease.
"For next year, we see a rebound in crude palm oil prices
back to 2,750 ringgit per tonne from the current weak position,
with signs only expected to start kicking in when inventories
are back to optimal levels," Malaysia's Public Investment Bank
said in a research note.
"Although production levels are back to normal, demand from
the major consuming countries remains uncertain due to the
slowdown in economic activity and tightening measures on imports
of vegetable oils."
China, the world's second largest edible oil buyer, will
impose stricter quality measures on edible oil imports from Jan.
1 onwards.
The benchmark March contract on the Bursa Malaysia
Derivatives Exchange dropped 0.4 percent to close at 2,341
ringgit ($766) per tonne. Prices traded in a tight range between
2,332 and 2,355 ringgit.
Total traded volumes stood at 30,911 lots of 25 tonnes each,
higher than the usual 25,000 lots.
Technical analysis showed palm oil faces resistance at 2,381
ringgit per tonne, and may revisit 2,285 ringgit, a high touched
on Dec. 14, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.

Traders are hoping for Malaysia's crude palm oil export tax,
set at zero percent for January, to spur shipments of the grade
and bring down record stocks.
In a bullish sign for palm oil, Brent crude rose above $108
a barrel on Tuesday as the outlook for demand improved on signs
of progress in U.S. talks to resolve a budget crisis that
threatens to dip the world's top oil consumer into recession
again.
In other vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for January
delivery was almost flat in late Asian trade. The most
active May 2013 soybean oil contract on the Dalian
Commodity Exchange edged up 0.1 percent.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1000 GMT

Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL JAN3 2197 +0.00 2188 2200 116
MY PALM OIL FEB3 2280 +0.00 2267 2293 5778
MY PALM OIL MAR3 2341 -9.00 2332 2355 10892
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY3 6812 -24.00 6788 6864 532656
CHINA SOYOIL MAY3 8792 +4.00 8766 8840 505078
CBOT SOY OIL JAN3 49.77 -0.02 49.67 50.07 7782
NYMEX CRUDE JAN3 87.66 +0.44 87.33 87.90 6216

Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1=3.05 Malaysian ringgit)
Source