RTRS:PRECIOUS-Gold recovers from 3-1/2-month low as stocks rise
* Progress in U.S. fiscal talks boosts stocks, euro
* Gold recovers from lowest since Aug. 31 at $1,661/oz
* Indian gold buyers take advantage of price dip
(Updates throughout, changes dateline, pvs SINGAPORE)
By David Brough
LONDON, Dec 19 (Reuters) - Gold prices firmed on Wednesday,
recovering from the previous session's 3-1/2-month low, as signs
of progress in U.S. fiscal talks and well-received German
economic data boosted appetite for assets seen as higher risk,
like stocks and commodities.
European equities reached a new high for the year and world
shares hit 17-month peaks on hopes that U.S. politicians will
reach a budget deal, while the euro hit a 7-1/2 month high
versus the dollar after German business confidence data.
Spot gold was up 0.2 percent at $1,672.31 an ounce
at 1131 GMT, while U.S. gold futures for February rose
$2.90 an ounce to $1,673.70.
Spot prices hit their lowest since Aug. 31 on Tuesday at
$1,661 an ounce, with traders citing a break through key chart
levels and activity on the options market as fuelling the move.
Saxo Bank vice president Ole Hansen said he expects gold to
retrace back to yesterday's technical breakout at $1,688 today.
"With the clear-out seen yesterday, we've seen longs taken
out, and that could be a potential turning point. As we turn to
next week, we will look ahead instead of backward," he said.
Gold has traded closely in line with stocks this year and
tends to benefit from weakness in the dollar, which makes assets
priced in the U.S. unit cheaper for other currency holders.
But it has struggled to make headway as expectations grew
that negotiations to avert the 'fiscal cliff' -- $600 billion in
spending cuts and tax hikes due next year, which threaten to
push the U.S. back into recession -- will be successful.
U.S. House of Representatives Majority Leader Eric Cantor
said he expects a vote on a Republican offer to avert the crisis
on Thursday, and he expects to have enough votes to pass the
measure.
Analysts say a quick resolution of the fiscal crisis could
in the long term hurt gold, as it would erode the metal's appeal
as a haven from risk and boost interest in other assets.
"As the macro environment improves, especially provided the
'fiscal cliff' is avoided, gold investors in developed economies
will increasingly look to diversify from bullion and into
riskier assets where returns are better given the ongoing
economic recovery and better-than-expected U.S. data," VTB
Capital said in a note.
"Once again, it will not happen overnight and we still see
bullion benefiting from relative dollar weakness next year.
However... the longevity to the ongoing quantitative easing is
set to be increasingly questioned, while bullion is set to start
losing its shine to other metals in the precious complex."
RENEWED PHYSICAL BUYING
The weakness in the gold price in the past few weeks has
triggered renewed physical buying, particularly in Asia, Swiss
bank UBS said in a note on Wednesday.
"Our flows to India indicate above-average demand this week
and in China, strong volumes continue on the Shanghai Gold
Exchange, with the month-to-date daily average turnover at
11,498 kg. versus the 12-month rolling average of 7,842 kg," it
said. "Physical buying out of Europe has also been notable."
Physical demand from China, which is neck-and-neck with
India as the world's top gold consumer, is expected to pick up
ahead of the Chinese New Year in February.
Gold importers in India, the world's biggest buyer of the
metal, took advantage of lower prices to buy, as a stronger
rupee helped push gold to a two-week low.
Gold is on track to drop around 5 percent this quarter, its
worst performance since the third quarter of 2008 at the height
of the global economic crisis.
But for the year, gold is up around 7 percent and set for a
12th straight annual growth driven by rock-bottom interest
rates, concerns over the financial stability of the euro zone
and diversification into bullion by central banks.
A 7 percent gain in gold this year would be well below an
average return of 16 percent over the past 12 years.
Among other precious metals, platinum was up 0.1
percent at $1,592.99 per ounce, and spot palladium was up
0.1 percent to $687.50 per ounce.
Silver was down 0.2 percent at $31.57 an ounce.