RTRS:METALS-Copper gains after upbeat China growth data
* China GDP grows 7.9 pct in Q4, 7.9 pct for 2012
* Worries over U.S. debt ceiling persist
* Coming Up: U.S. Reuters/UMich consumer sentiment; 1455 GMT
By Maytaal Angel
LONDON, Jan 18 (Reuters) - Copper rose on Friday and was on track to close
the week with small gains, bolstered by news that top consumer China's economy
grew in the fourth quarter, but concerns about U.S. debt and supply surpluses
kept gains in check.
China's economy grew at a slightly faster-than-expected 7.9 percent in the
fourth quarter of 2012, the latest sign it is pulling out of a post-global
financial crisis slowdown that produced its weakest year of economic growth
since 1999.
The data followed more evidence that the U.S. economy remained on track,
with weekly U.S. unemployment claims at five year-lows and a surge in
residential construction in December.
Still, worries over the U.S. debt persist, with squabbling in Washington
raising the specter that the U.S. may be forced to delay debt payments. The
treasury hit its $16.4 trillion debt ceiling on New Year's Eve, and will run
short of funds as early as mid-February.
Also weighing on copper, stocks in Shanghai inched down 0.3 percent from
last week to 208,568 tonnes, but remained near their highest since April last
year. Stocks on the LME remain near their highest levels in about a year, latest
data showed. Meanwhile, analysts estimate bonded stocks are between
800,000-900,000 tonnes.
"The two key points for 2013 is the seasonal restocking in China (which)
kicks off after the Chinese New Year - that will likely support prices above
$8,000 a tonne in the first quarter," said UBS commodity and mining analyst
Angus Staines.
"But after that we're going to see a return to fundamentals and for copper
that means an oversupplied market."
Three-month copper on the London Metal Exchange traded up 0.32
percent at $8,079 a tonne by 1015 GMT, to hit its highest in four sessions,
adding to gains from the previous session, when it closed up more than 1
percent.
Copper prices hit a 2013 low of $7,920 a tonne on Wednesday, but are set to
close the week up 0.4 percent.
SPUTTERING
Copper's upside run has sputtered since hitting 2-1/2 month highs in early
January, knocked down by a lack of demand from China - which consumes 40 percent
of the world's copper - and by fears over the upcoming U.S. debt ceiling
negotiations.
"The macro picture both out of the United States and China look good for
metals," said analyst Ed Meir of INTL FC Stone in New York..
"Still, as we get into February, the focus will then revert to what is going
on in the United States. If they don't raise the debt ceiling it's going to be a
mess. Expect more of the same -- (copper prices) muddling along," he added.
In the physical markets, traders in Asia said business was quiet ahead of
the new year period, with premiums for copper at a steady $30-$40 in warehouse
Singapore, and around $50-$60 in Shanghai bonded warehouse.
"Sure we have copper," said one Singapore trader, "but there's not a buyer
in sight. Bonded premiums tend to stay softer before Lunar New Year and pick up
after that," he added.
Traders said demand for stainless steel material nickel was slack, with
Singapore stock locked away on finance deals, and premiums for Shanghai metal
sitting around $80 to $90.
LME nickel, the worst performing metal in the complex last year,
rose 0.39 percent to $17,669, even as LME stocks edged up 576 tonnes at 147,804
tonnes, near their highest levels in almost three years.
Soldering metal tin rose 0.96 percent to $25,160 a tonne, zinc
, used in galvanizing, climbed 1.36 percent to $2,037.25 a tonne, battery
material lead rose 1.28 percent to $2,314.25 a tonne, while aluminium
gained 0.56 percent to $2,060 a tonne.
In industry news, Rio Tinto sacked chief executive Tom Albanese and
revealed a $14 billion writedown almost entirely on the value of his two most
significant acquisitions, the Alcan aluminium group and Mozambican coal.
Metal Prices at 1017 GMT
Comex copper in cents/lb, LME prices in $/T and SHFE prices in
yuan/T
Metal Last Change Pct Move End 2012 Ytd Pct
move
COMEX Cu 366.30 0.95 +0.26 365.25 0.29
LME Alum 2059.75 11.25 +0.55 2073.00 -0.64
LME Cu 8079.50 25.50 +0.32 7931.00 1.87
LME Lead 2312.00 27.00 +1.18 2330.00 -0.77
LME Nickel 17656.00 56.00 +0.32 17060.00 3.49
LME Tin 25135.00 215.00 +0.86 23400.00 7.41
LME Zinc 2036.00 26.00 +1.29 2080.00 -2.12
SHFE Alu 15285.00 45.00 +0.30 15435.00 -0.97
SHFE Cu* 58380.00 640.00 +1.11 57690.00 1.20
SHFE Zin 15420.00 155.00 +1.02 15625.00 -1.31
** Benchmark month for COMEX copper
* 3rd contract month for SHFE AL, CU and ZN
SHFE ZN began trading on 26/3/07