BLBG:WTI Crude Gains for a Second Day; Seaway Pipeline Flows Increase
West Texas Intermediate crude rose for a second day as Enterprise Products Partners LP said supplies through its Seaway pipeline will increase, helping reduce a glut in the U.S. Midwest.
Futures gained 0.4 percent after advancing by the most since Feb. 11 in New York yesterday. Seaway volume will average 295,000 barrels a day between February and May, up from 180,000 barrels in January, according to Enterprise. The Federal Reserve will release minutes of its January meeting today. U.S. crude stockpiles probably climbed a fifth week, according to a Bloomberg News survey before a government report tomorrow.
“We expect subdued, macro-driven action with some attention on the January Federal Open Markets Committee tonight,” said Andrey Kryuchenkov, an analyst at VTB Capital in London, who predicts that WTI will struggle to surpass $98 a barrel this month.
WTI for March delivery, which expires today, was at $96.95 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange, up 29 cents, at 9:18 a.m. London time. The contract advanced 80 cents to $96.66 yesterday. The more active April future rose 26 cents to $97.36. The volume of all futures traded was 4 percent above the 100-day average.
Brent for April settlement on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange was at $117.60 a barrel, up 8 cents. The volume was 13 percent below the 100-day average. The European benchmark crude was at a premium of $20.26 to WTI, from $20.42 yesterday. The gap expanded to $23.18 on Feb. 8, the widest since Nov. 26.
Oil Inventories
The Fed is scheduled to issue the minutes of its Jan. 29-30 meeting at 2 p.m. in Washington, which may provide details on when it plans to start trimming stimulus measures. The U.S. central bank said on Jan. 30 it is committed to buying about $85 billion of government and mortgage securities a month to support growth. Minutes of the Fed’s Dec. 11-12 gathering showed members divided between a mid- or end-of-year finish to bond purchases.
The Energy Information Administration is scheduled to release its weekly report at 11 a.m. tomorrow in Washington, one day later than normal because of the Presidents Day holiday on Feb. 18.
U.S. crude supplies probably gained 2 million barrels last week to 374.2 million barrels, according to the median estimate of nine analysts surveyed by Bloomberg. It would be the longest streak of increases since May.
Gasoline Stockpiles
The amount of oil in storage for the week ended Feb. 8 was about 11 percent higher than the five-year average for the period, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
Gasoline stockpiles probably fell by 900,000 barrels, the survey shows. Distillate inventories, a category that includes diesel and heating oil, are expected to have dropped 1.5 million barrels for a fourth week of declines.
The industry-funded American Petroleum Institute will publish separate inventory data today.
The API collects stockpile information on a voluntary basis from operators of refineries, bulk terminals and pipelines. The government requires that reports be filed with the EIA, the Energy Department’s statistics unit, for its weekly survey.
Oil in New York rebounded yesterday after failing to breach technical support around $95 a barrel, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. This level is the trough between a “double-top” formed after futures halted advances near $98 on Jan. 31 and Feb. 13. Buy orders tend to be clustered near chart- support levels.
Brent crude will decrease in the second quarter on seasonally weaker demand, according to Morgan Stanley. As the oil market may tighten over the second half of this year, investors should use “any material sell-off as a buying opportunity,” Adam Longson, a New York-based commodity analyst at the bank, said in an e-mailed report today.
To contact the reporter on this story: Ben Sharples in Melbourne at bsharples@bloomberg.net Grant Smith in London at gsmith52@bloomberg.net
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