RTRS:VEGOILS-Palm oil slips to 2-month low as exports remain weak
* Malaysia July 1-15 palm oil exports fall 22.8 pct - ITS
* Palm oil to drop to 2,233 ringgit - technicals
* Malaysia sets Aug export tax unchanged at 4.5 pct
By Chew Yee Kiat
SINGAPORE, July 15 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures
fell to their lowest in more than two months on Monday as
worries persisted over weakening demand for the edible oil.
Malaysian palm oil shipments for the July 1-15 period fell
22.8 percent to 547,857 tonnes from 709,860 a month ago, cargo
surveyor Intertek Testing Services (ITS) said on Monday.
The benchmark September contract slumped 3 percent
on Friday, the steepest single-day loss seen since Nov. 5, as
traders feared a weak export trend in the first 10 days will
stretch into the month.
"Exports in the first 15 days were steadier compared to the
first 10 days but they are still weak, and hopefully they will
recover by the end of the month," said a dealer with a foreign
commodities brokerage in Kuala Lumpur.
"Selling is technically overdone and we should see a
technical bounce soon."
By the midday break, the September contract on the Bursa
Malaysia Derivatives Exchange had lost 1.5 percent to 2,267
ringgit ($712) per tonne, just above its intraday low at 2,260
ringgit, the lowest level since May 7.
Total traded volume stood at 13,975 lots of 25 tonnes each,
slightly above the usual 12,500 lots. Prices moved in a range
between 2,260 ringgit and 2,283.
Technicals showed palm oil may break below support at 2,272
ringgit per tonne, and fall further towards 2,233 ringgit, said
Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.
Malaysia, the world's No.2 palm oil producer, will set its
crude palm oil export tax for August at 4.5 percent, unchanged
from a month ago, a government circular showed on Monday.
Top producer Indonesia is expected to announce its export
tax for August later in the month.
Traders are keeping an eye on Malaysia's output trend as an
uptick in production data from industry regulator the Malaysian
Palm Oil Board signalled the start of a higher yield cycle.
Higher oilseed supplies in the second half of the year may
depress palm oil prices further, which have lost 7 percent so
far this year.
In other markets, Brent futures rose towards $109 a barrel
on Monday as demand growth worries ebbed after data from China
showed the world's second-biggest economy expanded in line with
expectations.
In vegetable oil markets, U.S. soyoil for December
fell 0.9 percent in early Asian trade. The most-active January
soybean oil contract on the Dalian Commodities Exchange
fell 1.2 percent.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0446 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL JUL3 0 +0.00 0 0 0
MY PALM OIL AUG3 2276 -33.00 2270 2293 708
MY PALM OIL SEP3 2267 -34.00 2260 2283 7108
CHINA PALMOLEIN JAN4 5686 -156.00 5656 5780 531622
CHINA SOYOIL JAN4 7204 -86.00 7172 7280 635848
CBOT SOY OIL DEC3 45.34 -0.41 45.31 45.74 3296
NYMEX CRUDE AUG3 105.97 +0.02 105.50 106.17 8263
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palmolein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1=3.183 ringgit)