TM:Euro makes move on yen, China shares outperform
SYDNEY, Nov 27 — The euro raced to fresh highs on both the yen and US dollar today, while Shanghai stocks shrugged off geopolitical concerns to outpace an otherwise lacklustre regional performance.
European stocks were poised for a subdued start, with financial spreadbetters expecting flat to small gains for Britain’s FTSE 100, Germany’s DAX and France’s CAC 40.
The euro touched a four-year peak against the yen and a one-month high on the dollar as speculators wrestled with major chart resistance at ÂĄ138.00 and US$1.3600. A break here would likely open the way to further gains for euro bulls.
While most share markets were subdued after a flat finish on Wall Street, China’s CSI300 of leading Shanghai and Shenzhen A-shares stood out with a 0.9 per cent gain.
Investors there seemed unperturbed by the step-up in tensions over Beijing’s demands that airlines inform them when flying over disputed islands in the East China Sea, a move the White House termed “unnecessarily inflammatory”.
The United States responded yesterday by flying two unarmed B-52 bombers over the region, while ANA and Japan Airlines stopped sending Chinese authorities their flight plans for routes that pass through the zone.
“It is bubbling away under the surface. In an environment where there’s not a lot of data, then keeping one eye on geopolitics is probably going to be a good idea as well, because you never know what might come of that,” said Sue Trinh, senior currency strategist at RBC Capital Markets in Hong Kong.
In truth there was no clear theme running through markets, except perhaps for a reluctance to get involved ahead of the US Thanksgiving holiday tomorrow and the payrolls report next week. Japan’s Nikkei eased 0.4 per cent to inch further away from the six-month peak touched on Monday. Conviction was equally lacking elsewhere, with MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan up 0.1 per cent. Wall Street had faded late yesterday after upbeat US data on home building and house prices were offset by a disappointing reading on consumer confidence. The Dow shed its early gains to end flat, while the S&P 500 Index eked out a 0.01 per cent rise. The Nasdaq managed to outperform thanks to gains in big-cap technology stocks and finished above 4,000 for the first time since the dot-com bubble burst in 2000. Low for longer In debt markets it was notable that investors continue to push out the date when the Federal Reserve might first raise official rates, proof the central bank has succeeded in divorcing tapering from tightening. Eurodollar and Fed fund futures extended their three-month-old rally, with many contracts reaching new highs. The market no longer has a first hike priced in until the very end of 2015, while before the Fed’s September decision not to taper, it had been wagering on late 2014. That sea change has in turn tempered the rise in longer-term rates, with yields on 10-year Treasury paper slipping to 2.71 per cent from a peak of 2.84 per cent last week. It might also be one reason the US dollar is struggling against some of its major counterparts. The euro got as far as US$1.3600 today, its highest since October 31. The single currency also pushed above ¥138.00 for the first time in four years and looked to be heading for the 2009 peak around ¥139.18. The gains have come even as a who’s who of officials at the European Central Bank opened the door to more policy easing including a negative deposit rate. The dollar has also lost altitude against sterling and the Swiss franc over the past couple of weeks. In contrast, the dollar has fared much better against the yen, thanks in part to the Bank of Japan’s continued commitment to its massive asset-buying campaign. Indeed, BoJ board member Sayuri Shirai said the central bank should not hesitate to ease monetary policy further if risks to the economy and prices materialise. The dollar was hovering at ¥101.50 just off the recent six-month peak around ¥101.91. In commodities, US crude oil was after industry group American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a rise in crude oil inventories of 6.9 million barrels, far higher than the 600,000-barrel build anticipated by analysts. Nymex crude eased 22 cents to US$93.47 a barrel, leaving it not far from five-month lows. Brent crude oil futures was steadier at US$111.00 a barrel as investors concluded that a deal between Iran and world powers would bring no immediate increase in crude supplies. — Reuters - See more at:
