RTRS:VEGOILS-Palm oil extends gains to 6th day, prices hit 1-1/2 yr high
* Malaysian Feb palm oil output down by 12 pct so far
-trader
* Palm oil faces resistance at 2,738 ringgit -technicals
* Feb palm stocks seen falling to 1.8 mt, prices to hit
2,900 rgt by end-March -analyst
By Anuradha Raghu
KUALA LUMPUR, Feb 19 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures
rose on Wednesday, stretching gains into a sixth day, as
stronger export demand and concerns of dry weather curbing
output buoyed prices to their highest level since September
2012.
Market participants said the dry weather in Malaysia and
Indonesia, where most of the world's oil palm is grown, could
hinder production and tighten supplies of the edible oil which
is used to make soaps to cookies and biofuel.
"The hot spell has a negative impact on production. Crops
are very low -- there's an overall 12 percent reduction in
February output so far," said a trader with a local commodities
brokerage in Malaysia.
"Indonesia is also facing the same problem," the trader
said. "There will be a drawdown in end-stocks."
By the midday break, the benchmark May contract on
the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange had edged up 0.3 percent
to 2,721 ringgit ($825) per tonne. Prices had earlier touched
2,734 ringgit, their highest since Sept. 21, 2012.
Total traded volume stood at 16,782 lots of 25 tonnes, above
the usual 12,500 lots.
A surge in exports in the first half of February also lifted
hopes of a recovery in demand from top consuming countries.
Cargo surveyors reported Malaysian shipments between Feb. 1-15
rose 27-32 percent from a month earlier, due to bigger demand
from China, Europe and Pakistan.
"All these positive factors are expected to be supportive to
crude palm oil prices and we reiterate our view that prices
should continue to appreciate up to 2,900 ringgit per metric
tonne by end-March 2014, as we expect a sustained inventory
downtrend throughout Q1, 2014," said Kenanga Investment Bank
analyst Alan Lim in a note on Wednesday.
"We have revised down our February inventory forecast by 4
percent to 1.80 million tonnes from 1.88 million tonnes
previously," Lim added. End-stocks in Malaysia currently stand
at 1.93 million tonnes.
But technicals were bearish. Malaysian palm oil faces a
resistance at 2,738 ringgit per tonne and may retrace to 2,712
ringgit, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao.
Cargo surveyors will release data for Feb. 1-20 exports on
Thursday.
In vegetable oil markets tracked by palm, the U.S. soyoil
contract for May fell 0.2 percent in early Asian trade,
while the most active May soybean oil contract on the
Dalian Commodities Exchange rose 1.1 percent.
In other markets, Brent crude held above $110 a barrel,
underpinned by geopolitical concerns in Africa and Venezuela,
while U.S. oil touched its highest in four months as stockpiles
are forecast to fall on winter demand and new pipeline capacity.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 0521 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL MAR4 2715 +5.00 2713 2728 252
MY PALM OIL APR4 2725 +7.00 2721 2736 3242
MY PALM OIL MAY4 2721 +7.00 2717 2734 8922
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY4 6126 +90.00 6102 6168 325522
CHINA SOYOIL MAY4 6812 +74.00 6798 6860 251558
CBOT SOY OIL MAR4 40.31 -0.05 40.23 40.39 2010
NYMEX CRUDE MAR4 102.83 +0.40 102.65 103.14 3643
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel