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MW: Global bonds rally as investors seek safety
 
Concerns over Ukraine, weak European data spark buying
By Ben Eisen, MarketWatch
NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — Invested flocked to the safety of U.S. and German government bonds on Wednesday, as they raced to shed riskier assets amid a growing conflict in Ukraine and weak European data.

The 10-year U.S. Treasury note 10_YEAR -1.85% yield, which falls as prices rise, was down 4 basis points on the day at 2.442%, near its lowest closing level since June 2013. The benchmark yield is on track to close lower for its fourth straight day.

German bunds rallied, sending the 10-year BX:TMBMKDE-10Y -5.64% yield down 7 basis points to 1.102%, on track for a record low on a closing basis, according to Tradeweb. The U.K. 10-year gilt BX:TMBMKGB-10Y -2.75% yield fell 7.5 basis points to 2.509%.

European stocks fell and U.S. futures pointed lower.

The risk-off sentiment comes amid news that Russia is amassing troops near the border to Ukraine, raising concerns about an invasion. Italy’s second-quarter GDP report showed the nation slid back into recession, while German manufacturing sank in June.

“Fears of a Russian incursion into Ukraine were at the start of the move although weak German orders data and bad Italian GDP data have provided strong assistance,” said David Keeble, head of interest-rate strategy at Crédit Agricole Corporate and Investment Bank, in a note.

Data showed the U.S. trade deficit shrank 7% in June due to a decrease in imports of petroleum. That could have positive effects on second-quarter GDP revisions

The Treasury Department said its quarterly refunding will include $67 billion in notes and bonds next week. There was little discussion during a meeting of market experts about an idea to issue a new type of ultra-long bond that would mature in more than 30 years.

The 30-year Treasury bond 30_YEAR -1.40% yield fell 4 basis points to 3.239% while the 5-year note 5_YEAR -2.04% yield fell 3.5 basis points to 1.628%.

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