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BLBG: Australian, N.Z. Dollars Set for Fifth Weekly Advance on Stocks
 
The Australian and New Zealand dollars are set for a fifth weekly gain as equities strengthened globally on efforts by world leaders to end the financial crisis.

The currencies touched their highest since January after governments pledged more than $1 trillion of aid to fight the global recession. Prices of commodities, which account for more than half the two nations’ exports, rose. Both currencies also gained after China, Australia’s largest trading partner, said yesterday manufacturing is expanding.

“Stocks have rallied hard this week and that’s been the catalyst for most of the move we’ve seen in the Aussie,” said Paul Milton, chief foreign-exchange dealer at Societe Generale Australia Ltd. in Sydney. “We’ve probably come a bit too far, too quick but there’s a good chance of getting up to 73 cents,” he said referring to the currency by its nickname.

Australia’s currency bought 71.40 U.S. cents at 1:26 p.m. in Sydney from 71.52 cents late in New York yesterday and 69.42 cents on March 27. It touched 72.29 cents, the highest since Jan. 7. The currency gained 4.6 percent to 71.09 yen this week, the biggest advance since Feb. 6, and touched 72.33, the highest level since October.

New Zealand’s dollar traded at 58.33 U.S. cents after gaining to 59 cents, the strongest since Jan. 12, from 57.76 yesterday and 57.06 late last week in New York. It advanced 4 percent against the yen this week and traded at 58.04 yen.

IMF War Chest

The currencies are set to advance for a sixth week against the yen, the longest winning streak since at least May 2008, as leaders of the Group of 20 nations tripled the firepower of the International Monetary Fund, which has been inundated with requests for loans from troubled economies including Hungary.

“The G-20 giving the IMF all that extra money means they’re going to have a go at fixing the issues in Eastern Europe,” said Tony Allen, head of currency trading at ANZ National Bank Ltd. in Wellington. “Aussie’s got very little downside and it could target 76 U.S. cents by the end of the month.”

New Zealand’s currency may trade between 55.50 U.S. cents and 59 cents through April, Allen said.

The IMF was told its war chest will be boosted by $500 billion and it will receive another $250 billion in special drawing rights, the agency’s synthetic currency. Multilateral development banks including the World Bank will be enabled to lend at least $100 billion more.

Commodities

Both currencies gained as the UBS Bloomberg Constant Maturity Commodity Index rose the most in two weeks on speculation the worst of the slowdown is over. Asian equities extended a global equity rally after the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index advanced yesterday the most since March 23.

China’s Purchasing Manager’s Index rose to a seasonally adjusted 52.4 in March from 49 in February, the Federation of Logistics and Purchasing said yesterday. A reading above 50 indicates an expansion.

“The rise in commodity prices in response to improved sentiment towards global economic growth is supportive of the Australian dollar,” wrote John Kyriakopoulos, Sydney-based head of currency strategy at National Australia Bank Ltd. in a note today. “The spanner in the works could come from tonight’s U.S. non-farm payrolls report for March.”

The jobless rate in the world’s largest economy probably climbed in March to a 25-year high of 8.5 percent, according to the median estimate of 79 economists polled by Bloomberg News. The Australian dollar will find sellers at 72 U.S. cents and then 72.50 cents, wrote Kyriakopoulos.

Deficit, Bond Sales

Australia’s services industry shrank last month at a slower pace, with an index rising 3.4 points from February to 35.6, Commonwealth Bank of Australia and the Australian Industry Group said in Sydney today. The index was below 50 for a 12th month, indicating the sector is contracting.

In New Zealand, the cash budget deficit was wider than the government forecast at the end of February amid slumping tax receipts. It was NZ$6.61 billion ($3.8 billion) in the eight months ended Feb. 28, or NZ$1.71 billion wider than previously forecast, the Treasury Department said today. Tax receipts were NZ$1.86 billion less than forecast.

Australia today sold A$599 million ($430 million) of securities maturing May 2013 at a weighted average yield of 3.84 percent. The so-called bid-to-cover ratio at the auction was 3.4.

Australian government bonds snapped four days of gains. The yield on 10-year notes rose six basis points, or 0.06 percentage point, to 4.43 percent, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The price of the 5.25 percent security due March 2019 slipped 0.47, or A$4.70 per A$1,000 face amount, to 106.52.

New Zealand’s two-year swap rate, a fixed payment made to receive floating rates, rose to 3.91 percent from 3.84 yesterday.
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