RTRS: Yen takes back losses as high-yielder rally pauses
The yen rose against the dollar on Wednesday and took back the previous day's losses against the euro and higher yielders such as the Australian dollar after their rallies ran out of steam for now.
The dollar also inched up against the euro after losing ground on Tuesday, with caution setting in as to how far to push bets against the yen and greenback which have been driving those currencies gradually lower across the board since February.
Currencies such as the Australian dollar and sterling have gained as investors have grown more optimistic that the global economy is past the worst and both hit multi-month highs against the greenback on Tuesday.
Analysts and traders said, however, a weak reading on U.S. housing data and a mixed day on Wall Street had given pause for thought, leading to some profit-taking on currencies perceived as riskier than both the dollar and the yen. S&P futures fell on Wednesday, signaling a soft start to U.S. stocks later.
"The current poor state of the global economy and expectations for an economic recovery are playing tug-of-war, with few seeing clear direction in the market," said Mitsuru Sahara, chief manager of FX derivatives trading at Bank of Tokyo-Mitsubishi UFJ.
Short-term trades dominated, with the dollar fluctuating against the yen as demand ahead of the Tokyo fixing at 9 p.m. EDT pushed it up, only to be met by selling from Japanese exporters.
The dollar fell 0.4 percent to 95.57 yen, slipping toward a two-month low of 94.55 set earlier in the week.
But the dollar's index against a basket of currencies gained 0.2 percent .DXY, rising away from a four-month low set last week, which it veered back toward on Tuesday.
The market is divided about how to trade dollar/yen at the moment, with both the U.S. and Japanese central banks holding interest rates close to zero to help economic recovery.
Both currencies are losing ground now investor risk appetite is on the mend and money is gradually being put to work in other assets. They have been stuck in a broad 95-100 range.
The dollar has failed to revisit this year's peak of 101.45 yen and has broken back down through some significant chart levels, leaving some betting it could go even lower.
JAPAN'S ECONOMY CONTRACTS AGAIN
Japan's economy shrank a record 4.0 percent in the first quarter as companies slashed investment and exports, but economists saw a return to modest growth in coming quarters even if the longer-term outlook remained unclear.
"This is of course a very bad number, but it was in line with expectations and is neutral in terms of market impact," said Toshihiko Matsuno, a senior strategist at SMBC Friend Securities.
"I expect there to be a growing consensus in the market that this is the bottom for the economy and that we will start to see a recovery from here."